Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Monopoli U19 vs Pescara U19

Team pages: Monopoli U19 · Pescara U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Monopoli U191.53

Pescara U191.66

1X2

35% 26% 40%

Monopoli U19 Draw Pescara U19

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Monopoli U19 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDLDWL

Pescara U19 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWDDLW

Head-to-head

Monopoli U19 3–3 Pescara U19 (6 last)

Pescara U191-4Monopoli U19
Monopoli U190-2Pescara U19
Pescara U193-0Monopoli U19
Monopoli U190-3Pescara U19
Pescara U190-2Monopoli U19
Monopoli U193-2Pescara U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Monopoli U19 1484 · Pescara U19 1540

	Monopoli U19	Draw	Pescara U19
Our model	35%	26%	40%
Market	35%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pescara U19 (rating 1484 vs 1540).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Monopoli U19	Pescara U19
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	13/38/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.50

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:28 +35’	2.60	3.50	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Monopoli U19 3–0–3 Pescara U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	1-4 HT 0-1	Monopoli U19
10/01/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Monopoli U19	0-2 HT 0-1	Pescara U19
05/04/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	3-0 HT 0-0	Monopoli U19
23/11/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Monopoli U19	0-3 HT 0-2	Pescara U19
04/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Pescara U19	0-2 HT 0-1	Monopoli U19
23/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Monopoli U19	3-2 HT 3-1	Pescara U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bari U19	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Perugia U19	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Palermo U19	2	2	0	0	6	3	6
4	Avellino U19	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
4	Catanzaro U19	2	2	0	0	5	2	6
6	Benevento U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
6	Latina U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
6	Monopoli U19	2	1	0	1	4	3	3
9	Pisa U19	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
10	Pescara U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
11	Spezia U19	2	0	1	1	3	4	1
12	Ascoli U19	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
13	Napoli U19	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
14	Frosinone U19	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
15	Cosenza U19	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
16	Salernitana U19	2	0	0	2	1	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Monopoli U19	Pescara U19
Palermo U19	1-1 D	1-3 L
Crotone U19	2-1 W	3-2 W
Ascoli U19	4-2 W	3-2 W
Spezia U19	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Monopoli U19 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Monopoli U19

LWWDWDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	4-0	–	–	W
09/05	Cosenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
02/05	Catanzaro U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-3	3	2	L
25/04	Avellino U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/04	Pescara U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-1	5	1	W
11/04	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
04/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
21/03	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	4-2	3	4	W
14/03	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	0-2	1	4	L

Pescara U19

WDWLWWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/09	Palermo U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	1-3	2	0	L
16/05	Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Ternana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
02/05	Benevento U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	5-2	3	5	W
24/04	Ascoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	2-0	3-2	7	1	W
18/04	Monopoli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
11/04	Crotone U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-2	3-2	8	6	W
04/04	Spezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
21/03	Salernitana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Monopoli U19 vs Pescara U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pescara U19 win (40%). Probabilities: Monopoli U19 35%, draw 26%, Pescara U19 40%.

How many goals are expected in Monopoli U19 vs Pescara U19?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Monopoli U19 1.53 · Pescara U19 1.66), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Monopoli U19 vs Pescara U19?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.