Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 17:00
Prediction: Lecco U19 vs Renate U19
Team pages: Lecco U19 · Renate U19
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Lecco U191.93
Renate U191.26
1X2
Lecco U19
Draw
Renate U19
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Lecco U19
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Renate U19
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lecco U19
1–3–2
Renate U19
(6 last)
- Renate U193-3Lecco U19
- Lecco U191-1Renate U19
- Lecco U191-2Renate U19
- Renate U192-0Lecco U19
- Lecco U192-2Renate U19
- Renate U190-1Lecco U19
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lecco U19 1493 · Renate U19 1508
| Lecco U19 | Draw | Renate U19 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Renate U19: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lecco U19 | Renate U19 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.2 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/38/13% | 22/44/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 6.4 | 1.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.6 | 2.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lecco U19 1–3–2 Renate U19
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Renate U19 | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Lecco U19 |
| 13/12/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 | Lecco U19 | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Renate U19 |
| 25/03/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Lecco U19 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Renate U19 |
| 03/12/22 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Renate U19 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lecco U19 |
| 04/05/21 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Lecco U19 | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Renate U19 |
| 20/02/21 Italy Campionato Primavera 3 | Renate U19 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Lecco U19 |
Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cremonese U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Padova U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Vicenza U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Renate U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sampdoria U19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Modena U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Venezia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 8 | Union Brescia U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Virtus Entella U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Cittadella U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Mantova U19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Sudtirol U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Lecco U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | Pro Vercelli U19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Reggiana U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Udinese U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lecco U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Cremonese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Pisa U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Albinoleffe U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Sudtirol U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Udinese U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Renate U19
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Reggiana U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lecco U19 vs Renate U19?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lecco U19 win (52%). Probabilities: Lecco U19 52%, draw 24%, Renate U19 24%.
How many goals are expected in Lecco U19 vs Renate U19?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Lecco U19 1.93 · Renate U19 1.26), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lecco U19 vs Renate U19?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.