Football · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Reggiana U19 vs Sudtirol U19

Team pages: Reggiana U19

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Reggiana U191.61

Sudtirol U191.1

1X2

48% 26% 25%

Reggiana U19 Draw Sudtirol U19

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Reggiana U19 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDWLLL

Sudtirol U19 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLWWLD

Head-to-head

Reggiana U19 1–1–4 Sudtirol U19 (6 last)

Reggiana U190-1Sudtirol U19
Sudtirol U193-0Reggiana U19
Sudtirol U190-0Reggiana U19
Reggiana U190-1Sudtirol U19
Sudtirol U190-3Reggiana U19
Reggiana U191-3Sudtirol U19

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reggiana U19 1473 · Sudtirol U19 1509

	Reggiana U19	Draw	Sudtirol U19
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sudtirol U19: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Reggiana U19	Sudtirol U19
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	0/57/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 4.7	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +28’	1.85	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Reggiana U19 1–1–4 Sudtirol U19

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	0-1	Sudtirol U19
01/11/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sudtirol U19	3-0	Reggiana U19
15/03/25 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sudtirol U19	0-0	Reggiana U19
14/09/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	0-1 HT 0-1	Sudtirol U19
03/02/24 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Sudtirol U19	0-3 HT 0-2	Reggiana U19
23/09/23 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	Reggiana U19	1-3 HT 0-2	Sudtirol U19

Standings · Italy Campionato Primavera 2 · Primavera 2 26/27, Girone A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cremonese U19	2	2	0	0	7	1	6
2	Padova U19	2	2	0	0	5	0	6
3	Vicenza U19	2	1	1	0	4	1	4
4	Renate U19	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	Sampdoria U19	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	Modena U19	2	1	0	1	6	4	3
7	Venezia U19	2	1	0	1	6	5	3
8	Union Brescia U19	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Virtus Entella U19	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
10	Cittadella U19	2	1	0	1	6	7	3
11	Mantova U19	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
12	Sudtirol U19	2	0	1	1	0	3	1
13	Lecco U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
13	Pro Vercelli U19	2	0	1	1	0	4	1
15	Reggiana U19	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
16	Udinese U19	2	0	0	2	2	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Reggiana U19	Sudtirol U19
Vicenza U19	5-1 W	0-3 L
Union Brescia U19	4-1 W	3-1 W
Modena U19	1-2 L	0-0 D
Lecco U19	5-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Reggiana U19 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reggiana U19

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
05/09	Renate U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
16/05	Perugia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
09/05	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	5-1	–	–	W
02/05	Padova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	1-1	8	0	D
25/04	Virtus Entella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-2	1-2	4	4	L
18/04	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	4-1	6	1	W
11/04	Sampdoria U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-0	3-2	5	8	W
04/04	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
21/03	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	3-1	5-2	3	7	W

Sudtirol U19

LLWLDLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Mantova U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
09/05	Union Brescia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	1-1	3-1	2	2	W
02/05	Venezia U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	Lecco U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/04	Modena U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
11/04	Pro Vercelli U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
04/04	Vicenza U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
21/03	Cittadella U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
14/03	Como U19 Italy Campionato Primavera 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reggiana U19 vs Sudtirol U19?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reggiana U19 win (48%). Probabilities: Reggiana U19 48%, draw 26%, Sudtirol U19 25%.

How many goals are expected in Reggiana U19 vs Sudtirol U19?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Reggiana U19 1.61 · Sudtirol U19 1.1), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Reggiana U19 vs Sudtirol U19?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.