Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 20/09, 19:00

Prediction: CSD Amatitlan vs Juventud Copalera

Team pages: CSD Amatitlan · Juventud Copalera

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

CSD Amatitlan1.01

Juventud Copalera1.29

1X2

28% 29% 42%

CSD Amatitlan Draw Juventud Copalera

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Amatitlan 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLLLW

Juventud Copalera 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLWLW

Head-to-head

CSD Amatitlan 0–1 Juventud Copalera (1 last)

Juventud Copalera3-0CSD Amatitlan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Amatitlan 1429 · Juventud Copalera 1504

	CSD Amatitlan	Draw	Juventud Copalera
Our model	28%	31%	42%
Market	29%	28%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventud Copalera (rating 1429 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Amatitlan	Juventud Copalera
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.1	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.3	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	0.7 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:26 +19’	3.10	3.20	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Amatitlan 0–0–1 Juventud Copalera

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Juventud Copalera	3-0	CSD Amatitlan

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huehuetecos FC	10	7	0	3	20	7	21
2	Aguacatan FC	10	6	2	2	20	9	20
3	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	10	5	3	2	14	9	18
4	Deportivo Iztapa	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
5	Juventud Copalera	10	4	2	4	13	11	14
6	Quiche FC	10	3	3	4	7	12	12
7	Coatepeque FC	9	3	2	4	9	12	11
8	Deportivo Gomerano	10	3	2	5	9	13	11
9	Chichicasteco FC	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
10	CSD Amatitlan	10	2	0	8	6	21	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Amatitlan	Juventud Copalera
Chichicasteco FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Aguacatan FC	0-5 L	2-3 L
Huehuetecos FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Gomerano	0-3 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Iztapa	0-2 L	1-1 D
Coatepeque FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	0-2 L	0-1 L
Quiche FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 7 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Juventud Copalera (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Amatitlan

WLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
30/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
16/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
12/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
26/07	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	–	–	W

Juventud Copalera

DWLDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
30/08	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
23/08	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
19/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
16/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
12/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
09/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
02/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
26/07	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Amatitlan vs Juventud Copalera?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Juventud Copalera win (42%). Probabilities: CSD Amatitlan 28%, draw 29%, Juventud Copalera 42%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Amatitlan vs Juventud Copalera?

The model expects 2.29 goals (CSD Amatitlan 1.01 · Juventud Copalera 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Amatitlan vs Juventud Copalera?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.