Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 27/09, 19:00

Prediction: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Huehuetecos FC

Team pages: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa · Huehuetecos FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa1.35

Huehuetecos FC0.88

1X2

47% 29% 24%

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Draw Huehuetecos FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWDWWL

Huehuetecos FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 0–1 Huehuetecos FC (1 last)

Huehuetecos FC3-0Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1532 · Huehuetecos FC 1549

	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	Draw	Huehuetecos FC
Our model	47%	30%	23%
Market	48%	27%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	Huehuetecos FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	1.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.5 / 0.3	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.30

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +42’	1.85	3.30	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 0–0–1 Huehuetecos FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Huehuetecos FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huehuetecos FC	11	7	0	4	21	9	21
2	Aguacatan FC	11	6	3	2	22	11	21
3	Deportivo Iztapa	11	5	4	2	16	12	19
4	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
5	Quiche FC	11	4	3	4	8	12	15
6	Juventud Copalera	11	4	2	5	13	14	14
7	Deportivo Gomerano	11	4	2	5	11	14	14
8	Coatepeque FC	10	3	2	5	10	14	11
9	Chichicasteco FC	10	2	3	5	11	18	9
10	CSD Amatitlan	11	3	0	8	9	21	9

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	Huehuetecos FC
Quiche FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Deportivo Gomerano	3-0 W	1-2 L
Juventud Copalera	1-0 W	1-2 L
Deportivo Iztapa	1-1 D	3-0 W
Chichicasteco FC	1-0 W	4-0 W
Coatepeque FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Aguacatan FC	0-2 L	0-1 L
CSD Amatitlan	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Huehuetecos FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa

WLWLDWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
06/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
30/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-1	3	11	D
16/08	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
02/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	5	7	W

Huehuetecos FC

WWLWLWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
14/09	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
07/09	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
24/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
19/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/08	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
13/08	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
03/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Huehuetecos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa win (47%). Probabilities: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 47%, draw 29%, Huehuetecos FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Huehuetecos FC?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa 1.35 · Huehuetecos FC 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa vs Huehuetecos FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.