Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Coatepeque FC vs Chichicasteco FC

Team pages: Coatepeque FC · Chichicasteco FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Coatepeque FC1.46

Chichicasteco FC1.21

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Coatepeque FC Draw Chichicasteco FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Coatepeque FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDLWLD

Chichicasteco FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLDLLDL

Head-to-head

Coatepeque FC 1–3 Chichicasteco FC (4 last)

Coatepeque FC0-1Chichicasteco FC
Chichicasteco FC3-2Coatepeque FC
Chichicasteco FC2-0Coatepeque FC
Coatepeque FC2-1Chichicasteco FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coatepeque FC 1453 · Chichicasteco FC 1458

	Coatepeque FC	Draw	Chichicasteco FC
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Chichicasteco FC: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coatepeque FC	Chichicasteco FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/17/33%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5	3.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.5	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +6’	2.10	3.50	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Coatepeque FC 1–0–3 Chichicasteco FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Chichicasteco FC
25/01/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Chichicasteco FC	3-2	Coatepeque FC
01/10/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Chichicasteco FC	2-0	Coatepeque FC
17/08/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Chichicasteco FC

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huehuetecos FC	11	7	0	4	21	9	21
2	Aguacatan FC	10	6	2	2	20	9	20
3	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	10	5	3	2	14	9	18
4	Deportivo Iztapa	10	5	3	2	14	10	18
5	Juventud Copalera	10	4	2	4	13	11	14
6	Deportivo Gomerano	11	4	2	5	11	14	14
7	Quiche FC	10	3	3	4	7	12	12
8	Coatepeque FC	9	3	2	4	9	12	11
9	Chichicasteco FC	9	1	3	5	9	17	6
10	CSD Amatitlan	10	2	0	8	6	21	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coatepeque FC	Chichicasteco FC
Aguacatan FC	3-3 D	1-1 D
Huehuetecos FC	0-1 L	0-4 L
Deportivo Gomerano	2-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Iztapa	0-2 L	3-3 D
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	1-1 D	0-1 L
CSD Amatitlan	1-0 W	1-2 L
Quiche FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Juventud Copalera	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Coatepeque FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coatepeque FC

LLWLWDLWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
07/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	11	D
16/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	14	4	W
13/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
26/07	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
26/04	Deportivo San Pedro Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-4	3	0	L

Chichicasteco FC

LLDWLDLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
30/08	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
23/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
17/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
12/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	3-3	0	4	D
26/07	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/05	Suchitepequez Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coatepeque FC vs Chichicasteco FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coatepeque FC win (42%). Probabilities: Coatepeque FC 42%, draw 27%, Chichicasteco FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Coatepeque FC vs Chichicasteco FC?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Coatepeque FC 1.46 · Chichicasteco FC 1.21), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Coatepeque FC vs Chichicasteco FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.