Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 27/09, 19:00

Prediction: Mictlán vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Team pages: Mictlán · CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Mictlán1.77

CS Deportivo Sacachispas0.99

1X2

54% 26% 20%

Mictlán Draw CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Mictlán 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWWWDW

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Mictlán 4–2–0 CS Deportivo Sacachispas (6 last)

CS Deportivo Sacachispas0-0Mictlán
Mictlán1-1CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-2Mictlán
Mictlán1-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CS Deportivo Sacachispas1-3Mictlán
Mictlán3-0CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mictlán 1599 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1544

	Mictlán	Draw	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	54%	26%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mictlán (rating 1599 vs 1544).
H2H favours Mictlán: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mictlán	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.6	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.1	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/44/0%	17/50/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	3.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.9 / 0.6	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:04 +12’	1.65	3.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mictlán 4–2–0 CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	0-0 HT 0-0	Mictlán
27/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	1-1 HT 1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
25/04/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-2 HT 0-1	Mictlán
09/03/25 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	1-0 HT 0-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
19/01/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	1-3 HT 0-2	Mictlán
08/12/24 Guatemala Primera Division	Mictlán	3-0 HT 1-0	CS Deportivo Sacachispas

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	10	8	2	0	21	6	26
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	11	7	1	3	22	9	22
3	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	11	7	0	4	16	15	21
4	CSD Sayaxche	11	5	2	4	13	9	17
5	CSD Chiquimulilla	11	5	1	5	13	9	16
6	San Benito FC	10	5	1	4	18	15	16
7	Deportivo Fraijanes	11	4	1	6	20	19	13
8	CD Achuapa	11	4	1	6	7	14	13
9	AFF Guatemala	11	4	0	7	7	19	12
10	Champs Academy	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mictlán	CS Deportivo Sacachispas
CD Achuapa	4-1 W	1-0 W
San Benito FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Deportivo Fraijanes	4-2 W	3-2 W
AFF Guatemala	3-0 W	3-0 W
Champs Academy	1-0 W	5-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	2-0 W	1-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-1 W	1-3 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 1 D 0 L	5 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mictlán (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mictlán

WDWWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	4-1	1	8	W
13/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-2	13	5	D
06/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	4-2	5	6	W
29/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	5	11	W
23/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	7	5	W
16/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
13/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	2-0	5	9	W
09/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
02/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	7	11	W

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

WDLWWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	3-0	11	4	W
06/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
30/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
24/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-2	3-2	2	3	W
15/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W
13/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-3	1-3	6	4	L
09/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-0	14	8	D
02/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mictlán vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mictlán win (54%). Probabilities: Mictlán 54%, draw 26%, CS Deportivo Sacachispas 20%.

How many goals are expected in Mictlán vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Mictlán 1.77 · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mictlán vs CS Deportivo Sacachispas?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.