Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 27/09, 23:00

Prediction: Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSD Sayaxche

Team pages: Deportivo Fraijanes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Deportivo Fraijanes1.46

CSD Sayaxche1.41

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Deportivo Fraijanes Draw CSD Sayaxche

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Fraijanes 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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CSD Sayaxche 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Fraijanes 0–1–0 CSD Sayaxche (1 last)

CSD Sayaxche1-1Deportivo Fraijanes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Fraijanes 1486 · CSD Sayaxche 1522

	Deportivo Fraijanes	Draw	CSD Sayaxche
Our model	38%	27%	35%
Market	39%	25%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Fraijanes	CSD Sayaxche
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/43/14%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 1	5.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.60

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +7’	2.30	3.60	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Fraijanes 0–1–0 CSD Sayaxche

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Sayaxche	1-1	Deportivo Fraijanes

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	10	8	2	0	21	6	26
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	11	7	1	3	22	9	22
3	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	11	7	0	4	16	15	21
4	CSD Sayaxche	11	5	2	4	13	9	17
5	CSD Chiquimulilla	11	5	1	5	13	9	16
6	San Benito FC	10	5	1	4	18	15	16
7	Deportivo Fraijanes	11	4	1	6	20	19	13
8	CD Achuapa	11	4	1	6	7	14	13
9	AFF Guatemala	11	4	0	7	7	19	12
10	Champs Academy	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Fraijanes	CSD Sayaxche
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	1-2 L	3-0 W
CD Achuapa	3-0 W	1-2 L
Mictlán	2-4 L	0-2 L
Champs Academy	3-1 W	1-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	1-3 L	1-0 W
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2-3 L	0-1 L
San Benito FC	2-3 L	2-1 W
AFF Guatemala	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Sayaxche (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Fraijanes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
06/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-4	1	6	L
30/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	2-1	3-1	6	9	W
23/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
19/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	2-2	2-3	8	3	L
16/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	8	L
09/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
02/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	10	7	W

CSD Sayaxche

WDLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
20/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
16/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
03/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	9	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSD Sayaxche?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Fraijanes win (38%). Probabilities: Deportivo Fraijanes 38%, draw 26%, CSD Sayaxche 36%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSD Sayaxche?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Deportivo Fraijanes 1.46 · CSD Sayaxche 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Fraijanes vs CSD Sayaxche?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.