Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 20/09, 03:00
Prediction: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Deportivo Fraijanes
Team pages: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF · Deportivo Fraijanes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF2.13
Deportivo Fraijanes1.02
1X2
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
Draw
Deportivo Fraijanes
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Fraijanes
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
1–1
Deportivo Fraijanes
(2 last)
- Deportivo Fraijanes3-0Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
- Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1-0Deportivo Fraijanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1517 · Deportivo Fraijanes 1491
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | Draw | Deportivo Fraijanes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 13.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | Deportivo Fraijanes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 3.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.8 / 0.8 | 5.9 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1–0–1 Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division | Deportivo Fraijanes | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF |
| 26/02/25 Guatemala Segunda Division | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Fraijanes |
Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mictlán | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
| 2 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 18 |
| 4 | CSD Chiquimulilla | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | CSD Sayaxche | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 6 | Deportivo Fraijanes | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | San Benito FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 8 | CD Achuapa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | AFF Guatemala | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 9 |
| 10 | Champs Academy | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF | Deportivo Fraijanes |
|---|---|---|
| Champs Academy | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| CSD Chiquimulilla | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| CS Deportivo Sacachispas | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| San Benito FC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| AFF Guatemala | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| CSD Sayaxche | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Mictlán | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| CD Achuapa | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 12 | W |
| 30/08 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/08 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/08 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 09/08 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 26/07 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Deportivo Fraijanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/08 | CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/08 | CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division |
2-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/08 | AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Santa Rosa CDF win (62%). Probabilities: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 62%, draw 21%, Deportivo Fraijanes 17%.
How many goals are expected in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 2.13 · Deportivo Fraijanes 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs Deportivo Fraijanes?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.