Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 27/09, 00:00

Prediction: Champs Academy vs AFF Guatemala

Team pages: Champs Academy · AFF Guatemala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Champs Academy1.06

AFF Guatemala1.28

1X2

31% 28% 41%

Champs Academy Draw AFF Guatemala

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Champs Academy 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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AFF Guatemala 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Champs Academy 0–1–1 AFF Guatemala (2 last)

AFF Guatemala1-0Champs Academy
Champs Academy1-1AFF Guatemala

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Champs Academy 1384 · AFF Guatemala 1468

	Champs Academy	Draw	AFF Guatemala
Our model	29%	30%	40%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFF Guatemala (rating 1384 vs 1468).
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Champs Academy	AFF Guatemala
Goals for / against (FT)	0.1 / 2.1	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/25/75%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 6	3.7 / 7.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.7 / 1.7	5.3 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:20 +3’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Champs Academy 0–1–1 AFF Guatemala

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	AFF Guatemala	1-0	Champs Academy
01/09/25 Guatemala Segunda Division	Champs Academy	1-1 HT 0-0	AFF Guatemala

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	10	8	2	0	21	6	26
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	11	7	1	3	22	9	22
3	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	11	7	0	4	16	15	21
4	CSD Sayaxche	11	5	2	4	13	9	17
5	CSD Chiquimulilla	11	5	1	5	13	9	16
6	San Benito FC	10	5	1	4	18	15	16
7	Deportivo Fraijanes	11	4	1	6	20	19	13
8	CD Achuapa	11	4	1	6	7	14	13
9	AFF Guatemala	11	4	0	7	7	19	12
10	Champs Academy	11	0	1	10	3	25	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Champs Academy	AFF Guatemala
CSD Sayaxche	0-1 L	2-1 W
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	0-1 L	0-2 L
CD Achuapa	0-0 D	1-2 L
Deportivo Fraijanes	1-3 L	2-1 W
Mictlán	0-1 L	0-3 L
CSD Chiquimulilla	0-2 L	1-0 W
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	0-5 L	0-3 L
San Benito FC	0-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 7 L	3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: AFF Guatemala (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Champs Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	1-3	3	9	L
23/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
15/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
12/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
03/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	11	8	L

AFF Guatemala

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
06/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	7	11	L
22/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	2-1	15	4	W
20/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	8	7	L
15/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	9	4	L
12/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
08/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Champs Academy vs AFF Guatemala?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFF Guatemala win (41%). Probabilities: Champs Academy 31%, draw 28%, AFF Guatemala 41%.

How many goals are expected in Champs Academy vs AFF Guatemala?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Champs Academy 1.06 · AFF Guatemala 1.28), with a 59% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Champs Academy vs AFF Guatemala?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.