Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 04/10, 19:00

Prediction: CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Champs Academy

Team pages: CS Deportivo Sacachispas · Champs Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

CS Deportivo Sacachispas2.28

Champs Academy0.66

1X2

73% 19% 8%

CS Deportivo Sacachispas Draw Champs Academy

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLWWLDW

Champs Academy 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–0 Champs Academy (1 last)

CS Deportivo Sacachispas5-0Champs Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1537 · Champs Academy 1405

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Draw	Champs Academy
Our model	73%	18%	8%
Market	73%	19%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Deportivo Sacachispas (rating 1537 vs 1405).
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Champs Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	0.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/33/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6	1.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	7.3 / 2.3

Odds Bet365

11.22

X4.75

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.93

2 (+1.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:52 +23’	1.22	4.75	11.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Deportivo Sacachispas 1–0–0 Champs Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	5-0	Champs Academy

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	12	8	3	1	25	11	27
2	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	13	9	0	4	21	18	27
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	13	8	2	3	25	10	26
4	San Benito FC	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
5	CSD Sayaxche	13	5	4	4	15	11	19
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	13	5	2	6	23	21	17
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	13	5	1	7	14	14	16
8	CD Achuapa	13	4	2	7	8	16	14
9	AFF Guatemala	13	4	0	9	8	23	12
10	Champs Academy	13	1	2	10	6	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	Champs Academy
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-0 W	0-2 L
Mictlán	1-1 D	0-1 L
San Benito FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
AFF Guatemala	3-0 W	2-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	1-0 W	0-1 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	1-2 L	0-1 L
CD Achuapa	1-0 W	0-0 D
Deportivo Fraijanes	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: CS Deportivo Sacachispas (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	3-0	11	4	W
06/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
30/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	2	8	L
24/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	2-2	3-2	2	3	W
15/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	5-0	–	–	W
13/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-3	1-3	6	4	L

Champs Academy

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	2	12	W
20/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D
30/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-2	1-3	3	9	L
23/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	4	8	L
15/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
12/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-3	0-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Champs Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Deportivo Sacachispas win (73%). Probabilities: CS Deportivo Sacachispas 73%, draw 19%, Champs Academy 8%.

How many goals are expected in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Champs Academy?

The model expects 2.93 goals (CS Deportivo Sacachispas 2.28 · Champs Academy 0.66), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Champs Academy?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.