Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 04/10, 19:00

Prediction: CSD Amatitlan vs Coatepeque FC

Team pages: CSD Amatitlan · Coatepeque FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

CSD Amatitlan1.14

Coatepeque FC1.14

1X2

36% 28% 36%

CSD Amatitlan Draw Coatepeque FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CSD Amatitlan 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWWLW

Coatepeque FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDLLW

Head-to-head

CSD Amatitlan 0–4 Coatepeque FC (4 last)

Coatepeque FC1-0CSD Amatitlan
Coatepeque FC2-0CSD Amatitlan
CSD Amatitlan0-3Coatepeque FC
Coatepeque FC2-1CSD Amatitlan

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSD Amatitlan 1464 · Coatepeque FC 1479

	CSD Amatitlan	Draw	Coatepeque FC
Our model	34%	31%	34%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Coatepeque FC: 4-0-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSD Amatitlan	Coatepeque FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.8	5 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 1	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:06 +51’	2.40	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSD Amatitlan 0–0–4 Coatepeque FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	1-0 HT 0-0	CSD Amatitlan
13/02/22 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-0 HT 0-0	CSD Amatitlan
17/10/21 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Amatitlan	0-3 HT 0-0	Coatepeque FC
06/10/21 Guatemala Primera Division	Coatepeque FC	2-1 HT 0-1	CSD Amatitlan

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huehuetecos FC	13	8	1	4	24	10	25
2	Aguacatan FC	13	7	3	3	23	13	24
3	Juventud Copalera	13	6	2	5	18	16	20
4	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	13	5	4	4	15	13	19
5	Deportivo Iztapa	13	5	4	4	19	19	19
6	Quiche FC	13	5	3	5	10	13	18
7	Deportivo Gomerano	13	5	2	6	14	15	17
8	Coatepeque FC	12	4	2	6	11	15	14
9	Chichicasteco FC	12	3	3	6	14	22	12
10	CSD Amatitlan	13	4	0	9	11	23	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSD Amatitlan	Coatepeque FC
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa	2-0 W	1-1 D
Quiche FC	0-2 L	1-0 W
Juventud Copalera	3-0 W	0-1 L
Chichicasteco FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Aguacatan FC	0-5 L	3-3 D
Huehuetecos FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Gomerano	0-3 L	2-1 W
Deportivo Iztapa	0-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSD Amatitlan

LLLLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
27/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
20/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-0	4	11	W
14/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
06/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-5	–	–	L
30/08	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
16/08	Coatepeque FC Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
12/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L

Coatepeque FC

LWDLWLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-0	12	3	W
27/09	Juventud Copalera Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	Chichicasteco FC Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
13/09	Aguacatan FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-3	–	–	D
07/09	Huehuetecos FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
30/08	Deportivo Gomerano Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Iztapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-1	6	11	D
16/08	CSD Amatitlan Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-0	14	4	W
13/08	Quiche FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSD Amatitlan vs Coatepeque FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSD Amatitlan win (36%). Probabilities: CSD Amatitlan 36%, draw 28%, Coatepeque FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in CSD Amatitlan vs Coatepeque FC?

The model expects 2.29 goals (CSD Amatitlan 1.14 · Coatepeque FC 1.14), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSD Amatitlan vs Coatepeque FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.