Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 04/10, 03:00

Prediction: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs CSD Sayaxche

Team pages: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF · CSD Sayaxche

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF1.65

CSD Sayaxche0.85

1X2

56% 26% 19%

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Draw CSD Sayaxche

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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CSD Sayaxche 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0–1 CSD Sayaxche (1 last)

CSD Sayaxche3-0Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1557 · CSD Sayaxche 1506

	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	Draw	CSD Sayaxche
Our model	55%	27%	18%
Market	56%	25%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (rating 1557 vs 1506).
Cards-heavy: 13.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	CSD Sayaxche
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	9.2 / 0.4	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
22:19 +38’	1.60	3.60	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 0–0–1 CSD Sayaxche

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Sayaxche	3-0	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	12	8	3	1	25	11	27
2	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	13	9	0	4	21	18	27
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	13	8	2	3	25	10	26
4	San Benito FC	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
5	CSD Sayaxche	13	5	4	4	15	11	19
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	13	5	2	6	23	21	17
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	13	5	1	7	14	14	16
8	CD Achuapa	13	4	2	7	8	16	14
9	AFF Guatemala	13	4	0	9	8	23	12
10	Champs Academy	13	1	2	10	6	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	CSD Sayaxche
Mictlán	4-3 W	0-2 L
CD Achuapa	1-0 W	1-1 D
Deportivo Fraijanes	2-1 W	1-1 D
Champs Academy	1-0 W	1-0 W
CSD Chiquimulilla	2-1 W	1-0 W
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2-1 W	0-1 L
San Benito FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
AFF Guatemala	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	3-1	4-3	4	12	W
27/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
20/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-1	2	12	W
30/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
23/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
20/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	11	7	W
16/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	3	9	L

CSD Sayaxche

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
20/09	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
06/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
20/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
16/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-0	–	–	W
12/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-2	1	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs CSD Sayaxche?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nueva Santa Rosa CDF win (56%). Probabilities: Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 56%, draw 26%, CSD Sayaxche 19%.

How many goals are expected in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs CSD Sayaxche?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Nueva Santa Rosa CDF 1.65 · CSD Sayaxche 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nueva Santa Rosa CDF vs CSD Sayaxche?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.