Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 04/10, 23:00

Prediction: Deportivo Fraijanes vs San Benito FC

Team pages: Deportivo Fraijanes · San Benito FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Deportivo Fraijanes1.88

San Benito FC1.36

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Deportivo Fraijanes Draw San Benito FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Fraijanes 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLDW

San Benito FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Fraijanes 1–2 San Benito FC (3 last)

San Benito FC3-2Deportivo Fraijanes
Deportivo Fraijanes3-2San Benito FC
Deportivo Fraijanes0-1San Benito FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Fraijanes 1480 · San Benito FC 1552

	Deportivo Fraijanes	Draw	San Benito FC
Our model	49%	25%	27%
Market	47%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Benito FC (rating 1480 vs 1552).
H2H favours San Benito FC: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Fraijanes	San Benito FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.9	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.6	4.5 / 1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.30

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 1.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:17 +9’	1.90	3.30	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Fraijanes 1–0–2 San Benito FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	San Benito FC	3-2	Deportivo Fraijanes
06/03/24 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Fraijanes	3-2 HT 1-2	San Benito FC
16/08/23 Guatemala Primera Division	Deportivo Fraijanes	0-1 HT 0-1	San Benito FC

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	12	8	3	1	25	11	27
2	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	13	9	0	4	21	18	27
3	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	13	8	2	3	25	10	26
4	San Benito FC	12	6	2	4	22	17	20
5	CSD Sayaxche	13	5	4	4	15	11	19
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	13	5	2	6	23	21	17
7	CSD Chiquimulilla	13	5	1	7	14	14	16
8	CD Achuapa	13	4	2	7	8	16	14
9	AFF Guatemala	13	4	0	9	8	23	12
10	Champs Academy	13	1	2	10	6	26	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Fraijanes	San Benito FC
AFF Guatemala	2-1 W	4-0 W
CSD Sayaxche	1-1 D	1-2 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	1-2 L	2-1 W
CD Achuapa	3-0 W	0-1 L
Mictlán	2-4 L	2-2 D
Champs Academy	3-1 W	1-1 D
CSD Chiquimulilla	1-3 L	3-1 W
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	2-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: San Benito FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Fraijanes

LLLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	2-1	5	7	W
27/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-1	18	4	D
20/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	2-0	3-0	5	7	W
06/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	2-4	1	6	L
30/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	2-1	3-1	6	9	W
23/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
19/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	2-2	2-3	8	3	L
16/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	8	8	L

San Benito FC

WWLWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/10	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-1	–	–	W
20/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
13/09	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
06/09	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	–	4-0	–	–	W
30/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-2	–	–	L
23/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-1	–	–	W
19/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
16/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	–	3-2	–	–	W
12/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	3-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Fraijanes vs San Benito FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Fraijanes win (48%). Probabilities: Deportivo Fraijanes 48%, draw 26%, San Benito FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Fraijanes vs San Benito FC?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Deportivo Fraijanes 1.88 · San Benito FC 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Fraijanes vs San Benito FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.