Football · Guatemala Primera Division · 19/09, 23:00

Prediction: AFF Guatemala vs CSD Chiquimulilla

Team pages: AFF Guatemala · CSD Chiquimulilla

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.29Total

AFF Guatemala1.15

CSD Chiquimulilla1.15

1X2

36% 29% 36%

AFF Guatemala Draw CSD Chiquimulilla

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

AFF Guatemala 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLL

CSD Chiquimulilla 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWLLL

Head-to-head

AFF Guatemala 0–3–3 CSD Chiquimulilla (6 last)

CSD Chiquimulilla2-0AFF Guatemala
AFF Guatemala1-2CSD Chiquimulilla
CSD Chiquimulilla2-2AFF Guatemala
CSD Chiquimulilla5-1AFF Guatemala
AFF Guatemala0-0CSD Chiquimulilla
AFF Guatemala0-0CSD Chiquimulilla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFF Guatemala 1425 · CSD Chiquimulilla 1519

	AFF Guatemala	Draw	CSD Chiquimulilla
Our model	34%	31%	34%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSD Chiquimulilla (rating 1425 vs 1519).
H2H favours CSD Chiquimulilla: 3-3-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFF Guatemala	CSD Chiquimulilla
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/43/57%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 7.3	3.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.9	6.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.30

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 22:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45
X	3.60 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	1.73 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.62 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
08:55 +59’	3.80	3.60	1.73
14:38 +6’	2.75▼	3.30▼	2.20▲
22:34 +3’	2.45▼	3.30	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:11 +212’	2.82	3.01	2.29
19:12 +2’	2.38▼	3.14▲	2.59▲
22:33 +5’	2.41▲	3.19▲	2.62▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFF Guatemala 0–3–3 CSD Chiquimulilla

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Chiquimulilla	2-0	AFF Guatemala
29/03/26 Guatemala Primera Division	AFF Guatemala	1-2 HT 0-1	CSD Chiquimulilla
15/02/26 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Chiquimulilla	2-2 HT 1-1	AFF Guatemala
09/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division	CSD Chiquimulilla	5-1 HT 3-0	AFF Guatemala
06/11/25 Guatemala Primera Division	AFF Guatemala	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Chiquimulilla
27/09/25 Guatemala Primera Division	AFF Guatemala	0-0 HT 0-0	CSD Chiquimulilla

Standings · Guatemala Primera Division · Primera Division 26/27, Apertura, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mictlán	9	7	2	0	17	5	23
2	CS Deportivo Sacachispas	10	7	1	2	21	7	22
3	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	10	6	0	4	14	14	18
4	CSD Chiquimulilla	10	5	1	4	13	8	16
5	CSD Sayaxche	10	4	2	4	12	9	14
6	Deportivo Fraijanes	10	4	1	5	19	17	13
7	San Benito FC	9	4	1	4	16	14	13
8	CD Achuapa	10	4	1	5	6	10	13
9	AFF Guatemala	10	3	0	7	6	19	9
10	Champs Academy	10	0	1	9	3	24	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFF Guatemala	CSD Chiquimulilla
CS Deportivo Sacachispas	0-3 L	3-1 W
San Benito FC	0-4 L	1-0 W
Mictlán	0-3 L	1-2 L
CSD Sayaxche	2-1 W	0-1 L
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF	0-2 L	1-2 L
CD Achuapa	1-2 L	0-1 L
Deportivo Fraijanes	2-1 W	3-1 W
Champs Academy	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CSD Chiquimulilla (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFF Guatemala

LLWWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
06/09	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-4	–	–	L
29/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-3	7	11	L
22/08	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	2-1	15	4	W
20/08	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-2	8	7	L
15/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-2	1-2	9	4	L
12/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-1	4	8	W
08/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	CSD Chiquimulilla Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-2	–	–	L
25/07	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	0-1	0-1	7	0	L

CSD Chiquimulilla

DWWWLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Guatemala Primera Division	1-1	1-2	7	12	L
30/08	CD Achuapa Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
23/08	Deportivo Fraijanes Guatemala Primera Division	1-0	3-1	7	5	W
20/08	Champs Academy Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	2-0	12	8	W
16/08	Mictlán Guatemala Primera Division	0-0	1-2	5	4	L
13/08	CS Deportivo Sacachispas Guatemala Primera Division	3-0	3-1	7	4	W
09/08	San Benito FC Guatemala Primera Division	–	1-0	–	–	W
02/08	AFF Guatemala Guatemala Primera Division	–	2-0	–	–	W
26/07	CSD Sayaxche Guatemala Primera Division	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFF Guatemala vs CSD Chiquimulilla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFF Guatemala win (36%). Probabilities: AFF Guatemala 36%, draw 29%, CSD Chiquimulilla 36%.

How many goals are expected in AFF Guatemala vs CSD Chiquimulilla?

The model expects 2.29 goals (AFF Guatemala 1.15 · CSD Chiquimulilla 1.15), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in AFF Guatemala vs CSD Chiquimulilla?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.