Football · Iceland Premier League · 11/10, 21:15
Prediction: Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes
Team pages: Vikingur Reykjavik · IA Akranes
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.33Total
Vikingur Reykjavik2.72
IA Akranes1.61
1X2
Vikingur Reykjavik
Draw
IA Akranes
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Vikingur Reykjavik
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
IA Akranes
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vikingur Reykjavik
5–1–0
IA Akranes
(6 last)
- IA Akranes2-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- IA Akranes1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik4-0IA Akranes
- Vikingur Reykjavik5-3IA Akranes
- IA Akranes0-1Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik2-1IA Akranes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vikingur Reykjavik 1562 · IA Akranes 1510
| Vikingur Reykjavik | Draw | IA Akranes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 19% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1562 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Vikingur Reykjavik: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Reykjavik | IA Akranes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.4 | 2.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.1 | 3.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Reykjavik 5–1–0 IA Akranes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 12/06/26 Iceland Cup | IA Akranes | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 27/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 4-0 HT 0-0 | IA Akranes |
| 06/12/25 Iceland Pre-Season Cup | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5-3 HT 3-3 | IA Akranes |
| 17/08/25 Iceland Premier League | IA Akranes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 24/05/25 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-1 HT 2-1 | IA Akranes |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 53 | 50 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 49 | 46 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 46 | 33 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 33 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 29 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vikingur Reykjavik | IA Akranes |
|---|---|---|
| KR Reykjavik | 2-1 W | 1-5 L |
| Keflavik | 4-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 14/09 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
IA Akranes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vikingur Reykjavik win (60%). Probabilities: Vikingur Reykjavik 60%, draw 20%, IA Akranes 20%.
How many goals are expected in Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?
The model expects 4.33 goals (Vikingur Reykjavik 2.72 · IA Akranes 1.61), with a 55% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vikingur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.