Football · Iceland Premier League · 17/10, 21:15
Prediction: Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Team pages: Breidablik · Vikingur Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Breidablik1.72
Vikingur Reykjavik1.95
1X2
Breidablik
Draw
Vikingur Reykjavik
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Breidablik
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Vikingur Reykjavik
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Breidablik
2–2–2
Vikingur Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Breidablik3-0Vikingur Reykjavik
- Breidablik1-4Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik1-1Breidablik
- Breidablik1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- Vikingur Reykjavik2-2Breidablik
- Breidablik3-1Vikingur Reykjavik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1462 vs 1551).
- High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Breidablik | Vikingur Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 2.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 7 | 3.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik 2–2–2 Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Iceland Cup | Breidablik | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 25/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 10/04/26 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Breidablik |
| 18/10/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
| 31/08/25 Iceland Premier League | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Breidablik |
| 01/06/25 Iceland Premier League | Breidablik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Vikingur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 53 | 50 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 49 | 46 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 46 | 33 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 33 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 29 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Breidablik | Vikingur Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| IA Akranes | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Fram Reykjavik | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 0-0 D | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Breidablik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
Vikingur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 14/09 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 06/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 02/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Reykjavik win (43%). Probabilities: Breidablik 34%, draw 23%, Vikingur Reykjavik 43%.
How many goals are expected in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Breidablik 1.72 · Vikingur Reykjavik 1.95), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.