Football · Iceland Premier League · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan
Team pages: Thor Akureyri · Stjarnan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Thor Akureyri1.73
Stjarnan1.55
1X2
Thor Akureyri
Draw
Stjarnan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Thor Akureyri
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Stjarnan
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Thor Akureyri
2–1–3
Stjarnan
(6 last)
- Stjarnan4-2Thor Akureyri
- Thor Akureyri1-3Stjarnan
- Thor Akureyri0-1Stjarnan
- Thor Akureyri5-1Stjarnan
- Thor Akureyri1-1Stjarnan
- Thor Akureyri2-1Stjarnan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Stjarnan: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thor Akureyri | Stjarnan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 4.8 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thor Akureyri 2–1–3 Stjarnan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Thor Akureyri |
| 31/05/26 Iceland Premier League | Thor Akureyri | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan |
| 12/06/24 Iceland Cup | Thor Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stjarnan |
| 18/02/24 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Stjarnan |
| 19/02/22 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stjarnan |
| 09/03/19 Iceland League Cup | Thor Akureyri | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Stjarnan |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 31 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 44 | 30 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 51 | 26 |
| 5 | Thor Akureyri | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 57 | 24 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 49 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thor Akureyri | Stjarnan |
|---|---|---|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| KA Akureyri | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 3-2 W |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-0 W | 2-5 L |
| Keflavik | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| IA Akranes | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Breidablik | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thor Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 13 | L |
| 13/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 04/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
Stjarnan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Thor Akureyri win (41%). Probabilities: Thor Akureyri 41%, draw 25%, Stjarnan 34%.
How many goals are expected in Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Thor Akureyri 1.73 · Stjarnan 1.55), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.