Football · Iceland Premier League · 19/10, 21:15

Prediction: Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes

Team pages: Fram Reykjavik · IA Akranes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

Fram Reykjavik2.29

IA Akranes1.66

1X2

51% 22% 27%

Fram Reykjavik Draw IA Akranes

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Fram Reykjavik 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDDLDL

IA Akranes 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDWLWD

Head-to-head

Fram Reykjavik 2–2–2 IA Akranes (6 last)

IA Akranes0-2Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik3-3IA Akranes
IA Akranes0-1Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik0-1IA Akranes
IA Akranes1-0Fram Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik1-1IA Akranes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fram Reykjavik 1496 · IA Akranes 1535

	Fram Reykjavik	Draw	IA Akranes
Our model	51%	21%	27%
Market	51%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 15.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fram Reykjavik	IA Akranes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.1	2.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.6 / 9	3.9 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.75▲	Pinn 1.85
X	4.10 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.25
2	3.50 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:16 +20’	1.67	4.10	3.50
15:56 +2’	1.75▲	4.00▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +16’	1.79	4.17	3.55
15:12 +34’	1.66▼	4.42▲	4.10▲
16:07 +47’	1.75▲	4.38▼	3.68▼
15:45 +13’	1.83▲	4.19▼	3.51▼
21:17 +49’	1.85▲	4.25▲	3.56▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fram Reykjavik 2–2–2 IA Akranes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/06/26 Iceland Premier League	IA Akranes	0-2 HT 0-2	Fram Reykjavik
12/04/26 Iceland Premier League	Fram Reykjavik	3-3 HT 0-0	IA Akranes
05/07/25 Iceland Premier League	IA Akranes	0-1 HT 0-1	Fram Reykjavik
06/04/25 Iceland Premier League	Fram Reykjavik	0-1 HT 0-1	IA Akranes
12/08/24 Iceland Premier League	IA Akranes	1-0 HT 0-0	Fram Reykjavik
21/05/24 Iceland Premier League	Fram Reykjavik	1-1 HT 0-0	IA Akranes

Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	26	19	6	1	77	26	63
2	KR Reykjavik	26	16	5	5	85	55	53
3	Fram Reykjavik	25	13	7	5	60	49	46
4	Breidablik	26	10	6	10	51	49	36
5	IA Akranes	25	9	7	9	46	49	34
6	Keflavik	26	8	5	13	39	50	29

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fram Reykjavik	IA Akranes
KR Reykjavik	1-2 L	1-5 L
Breidablik	1-3 L	4-1 W
Vikingur Reykjavik	2-2 D	2-2 D
Stjarnan	3-1 W	5-1 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2-1 W	3-1 W
FH Hafnarfjordur	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: IA Akranes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fram Reykjavik

DWLWWDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	1-2	9	7	L
20/09	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	0-0	2-2	16	5	D
15/09	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	0-2	1-3	9	2	L
06/09	Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
30/08	KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
24/08	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	4-1	4-3	6	4	W
17/08	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
10/08	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-3	2-5	12	0	L
01/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	2-0	2-1	3	10	W
26/07	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	0-0	0-0	11	1	D

IA Akranes

WDWWDDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-2	2-2	7	3	D
20/09	Breidablik Iceland Premier League	2-0	4-1	4	1	W
13/09	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-3	1-5	10	4	L
06/09	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-0	3-1	9	1	W
30/08	Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-2	10	3	D
23/08	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	0-1	1-1	10	7	D
16/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
09/08	Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	6	W
02/08	Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
26/07	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	3-0	5-1	2	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fram Reykjavik win (51%). Probabilities: Fram Reykjavik 51%, draw 22%, IA Akranes 27%.

How many goals are expected in Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

The model expects 3.95 goals (Fram Reykjavik 2.29 · IA Akranes 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fram Reykjavik vs IA Akranes?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.