Football · Iceland Premier League · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri
Team pages: Valur Reykjavik · KA Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.97Total
Valur Reykjavik2.15
KA Akureyri1.82
1X2
Valur Reykjavik
Draw
KA Akureyri
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Valur Reykjavik
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
KA Akureyri
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Valur Reykjavik
3–1–2
KA Akureyri
(6 last)
- Valur Reykjavik4-4KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri0-1Valur Reykjavik
- KA Akureyri2-5Valur Reykjavik
- Valur Reykjavik3-1KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri1-0Valur Reykjavik
- KA Akureyri3-2Valur Reykjavik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Valur Reykjavik: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valur Reykjavik | KA Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.7 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valur Reykjavik 3–1–2 KA Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 Iceland Premier League | Valur Reykjavik | 4-4 HT 1-3 | KA Akureyri |
| 22/05/26 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 27/06/25 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 23/04/25 Iceland Premier League | Valur Reykjavik | 3-1 HT 2-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 06/08/24 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Valur Reykjavik |
| 02/07/24 Iceland Cup | KA Akureyri | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Valur Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 52 | 31 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 58 | 31 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 44 | 30 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 41 | 51 | 26 |
| 5 | Thor Akureyri | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 57 | 24 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 49 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valur Reykjavik | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 3-5 L | 0-3 L |
| Thor Akureyri | 4-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Keflavik | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Breidablik | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Stjarnan | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Valur Reykjavik (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valur Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 20/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 13/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 13 | W |
| 13/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Valur Reykjavik win (45%). Probabilities: Valur Reykjavik 45%, draw 22%, KA Akureyri 33%.
How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
The model expects 3.97 goals (Valur Reykjavik 2.15 · KA Akureyri 1.82), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.