Football · Iceland Premier League · 16/10, 21:15

Prediction: Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Team pages: Breidablik · Vikingur Reykjavik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

Breidablik1.53

Vikingur Reykjavik2.29

1X2

25% 21% 54%

Breidablik Draw Vikingur Reykjavik

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Breidablik 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLLWLW

Vikingur Reykjavik 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDDWWD

Head-to-head

Breidablik 2–2–2 Vikingur Reykjavik (6 last)

Breidablik3-0Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik1-4Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik1-1Breidablik
Breidablik1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik2-2Breidablik
Breidablik3-1Vikingur Reykjavik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Breidablik 1475 · Vikingur Reykjavik 1558

	Breidablik	Draw	Vikingur Reykjavik
Our model	25%	21%	54%
Market	25%	21%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vikingur Reykjavik (rating 1475 vs 1558).
High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Breidablik	Vikingur Reykjavik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	2.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 6.7	3.9 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.60

X4.20

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.67 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:30 +5’	3.60	4.20	1.67
15:47 +11’	3.50▼	4.10▼	1.67
20:54 +6’	3.60▲	4.20▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Breidablik 2–2–2 Vikingur Reykjavik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/06/26 Iceland Cup	Breidablik	3-0 HT 0-0	Vikingur Reykjavik
25/06/26 Iceland Premier League	Breidablik	1-4 HT 0-1	Vikingur Reykjavik
10/04/26 Iceland Premier League	Vikingur Reykjavik	1-1 HT 0-1	Breidablik
18/10/25 Iceland Premier League	Breidablik	1-2 HT 1-0	Vikingur Reykjavik
31/08/25 Iceland Premier League	Vikingur Reykjavik	2-2 HT 1-1	Breidablik
01/06/25 Iceland Premier League	Breidablik	3-1 HT 2-0	Vikingur Reykjavik

Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	25	18	6	1	75	25	60
2	KR Reykjavik	25	15	5	5	82	53	50
3	Fram Reykjavik	25	13	7	5	60	49	46
4	Breidablik	25	10	6	9	50	47	36
5	IA Akranes	25	9	7	9	46	49	34
6	Keflavik	25	8	5	12	37	47	29

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Breidablik	Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik	3-1 W	4-1 W
IA Akranes	1-4 L	2-2 D
Fram Reykjavik	3-1 W	2-2 D
KR Reykjavik	3-3 D	2-1 W
Valur Reykjavik	1-3 L	2-0 W
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vikingur Reykjavik (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Breidablik

WLLDLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	1-0	3-1	5	0	W
20/09	IA Akranes Iceland Premier League	0-2	1-4	6	1	L
15/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
06/09	KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
31/08	Stjarnan Iceland Premier League	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
24/08	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-4	3-4	8	4	L
16/08	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	3-1	3-3	7	4	D
09/08	Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
04/08	Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League	0-1	0-1	9	2	L
27/07	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

Vikingur Reykjavik

WDDWWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	IA Akranes Iceland Premier League	2-1	2-2	9	3	D
19/09	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	10	W
14/09	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	3-0	4-1	7	0	W
06/09	Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/09	KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/08	Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League	0-0	2-0	8	5	W
16/08	FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League	2-1	4-2	9	5	W
09/08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	9	7	D
02/08	IA Akranes Iceland Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
24/07	Keflavik Iceland Premier League	2-0	5-1	12	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vikingur Reykjavik win (54%). Probabilities: Breidablik 25%, draw 21%, Vikingur Reykjavik 54%.

How many goals are expected in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

The model expects 3.82 goals (Breidablik 1.53 · Vikingur Reykjavik 2.29), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Breidablik vs Vikingur Reykjavik?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.