Football · Iceland Premier League · 17/10, 16:00
Prediction: Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik
Team pages: Keflavik · KR Reykjavik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.32Total
Keflavik2.13
KR Reykjavik2.19
1X2
Keflavik
Draw
KR Reykjavik
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Keflavik
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
KR Reykjavik
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Keflavik
1–1–4
KR Reykjavik
(6 last)
- Keflavik3-2KR Reykjavik
- KR Reykjavik3-2Keflavik
- KR Reykjavik2-0Keflavik
- KR Reykjavik2-0Keflavik
- Keflavik0-2KR Reykjavik
- Keflavik0-0KR Reykjavik
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KR Reykjavik (rating 1484 vs 1548).
- H2H favours KR Reykjavik: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Keflavik | KR Reykjavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 4 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Keflavik 1–1–4 KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 3-2 HT 1-1 | KR Reykjavik |
| 12/04/26 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
| 03/02/25 Iceland League Cup | KR Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
| 28/06/23 Iceland Premier League | KR Reykjavik | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Keflavik |
| 15/04/23 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-2 HT 0-0 | KR Reykjavik |
| 15/08/22 Iceland Premier League | Keflavik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KR Reykjavik |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 23 | 59 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 53 | 50 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 49 | 46 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 46 | 33 |
| 5 | IA Akranes | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 47 | 33 |
| 6 | Keflavik | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 44 | 29 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Keflavik | KR Reykjavik |
|---|---|---|
| Fram Reykjavik | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Stjarnan | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| KA Akureyri | 3-0 W | 5-3 W |
| IA Akranes | 5-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: KR Reykjavik (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keflavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
KR Reykjavik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/09 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Vikingur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | KA Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
4-2 | 5-3 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-3 | 3-3 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Stjarnan Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KR Reykjavik win (41%). Probabilities: Keflavik 38%, draw 21%, KR Reykjavik 41%.
How many goals are expected in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
The model expects 4.32 goals (Keflavik 2.13 · KR Reykjavik 2.19), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.