Football · Iceland Premier League · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
Team pages: Stjarnan · KA Akureyri
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.28Total
Stjarnan2.54
KA Akureyri1.75
1X2
Stjarnan
Draw
KA Akureyri
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Stjarnan
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
KA Akureyri
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stjarnan
4–2–0
KA Akureyri
(6 last)
- Stjarnan3-1KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri2-3Stjarnan
- Stjarnan3-2KA Akureyri
- KA Akureyri1-1Stjarnan
- KA Akureyri1-1Stjarnan
- Stjarnan5-0KA Akureyri
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjarnan (rating 1519 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Stjarnan: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stjarnan | KA Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.7 / 7.1 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjarnan 4–2–0 KA Akureyri
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 3-1 HT 2-0 | KA Akureyri |
| 12/04/26 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Stjarnan |
| 31/08/25 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 3-2 HT 0-1 | KA Akureyri |
| 01/06/25 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Stjarnan |
| 18/08/24 Iceland Premier League | KA Akureyri | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Stjarnan |
| 26/05/24 Iceland Premier League | Stjarnan | 5-0 HT 2-0 | KA Akureyri |
Standings · Iceland Premier League · Besta deild 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 47 | 31 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 55 | 31 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 27 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 23 |
| 5 | Thor Akureyri | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 57 | 21 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 19 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stjarnan | KA Akureyri |
|---|---|---|
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 2-5 L | 0-3 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Breidablik | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Thor Akureyri | 4-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Keflavik | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Valur Reykjavik | 3-2 W | 4-4 D |
| KR Reykjavik | 0-5 L | 3-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stjarnan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 13/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | IA Akranes Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 8 | L |
KA Akureyri
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 13 | W |
| 13/09 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Breidablik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Fram Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | KR Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Valur Reykjavik Iceland Premier League |
3-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | FH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Keflavik Iceland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | Thor Akureyri Iceland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar Iceland Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stjarnan win (54%). Probabilities: Stjarnan 54%, draw 20%, KA Akureyri 26%.
How many goals are expected in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
The model expects 4.28 goals (Stjarnan 2.54 · KA Akureyri 1.75), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.