Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 13/09, 22:00
Prediction: Zamora vs Trujillanos
Team pages: Zamora · Trujillanos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Zamora1.38
Trujillanos1.02
1X2
Zamora
Draw
Trujillanos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Zamora
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Trujillanos
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zamora
6–0
Trujillanos
(6 last)
- Trujillanos0-3Zamora
- Zamora2-1Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-5Zamora
- Zamora6-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos0-4Zamora
- Zamora2-0Trujillanos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zamora 1501 · Trujillanos 1426
| Zamora | Draw | Trujillanos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 26% |
| Market | 44% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zamora (rating 1501 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Zamora: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zamora | Trujillanos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora 6–0–0 Trujillanos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Zamora |
| 18/09/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Trujillanos |
| 30/07/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Zamora |
| 12/06/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Trujillanos |
| 24/04/21 Venezuela Primera Division | Trujillanos | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Zamora |
| 03/02/20 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Trujillanos |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | UCV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Caracas | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Zamora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 11 | Monagas | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zamora | Trujillanos |
|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Tachira | 2-5 L | 1-3 L |
| Carabobo | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| UCV | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Caracas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Zamora (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-4 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Trujillanos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zamora vs Trujillanos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora win (44%). Probabilities: Zamora 44%, draw 30%, Trujillanos 26%.
How many goals are expected in Zamora vs Trujillanos?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Zamora 1.38 · Trujillanos 1.02), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zamora vs Trujillanos?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.