Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/09, 23:00
Prediction: Trujillanos vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Team pages: Trujillanos · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Trujillanos1.63
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.89
1X2
Trujillanos
Draw
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Trujillanos
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trujillanos
1–2–3
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-0Trujillanos
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano3-1Trujillanos
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-1Trujillanos
- Trujillanos1-3Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano3-0Trujillanos
- Trujillanos2-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trujillanos 1454 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1483
| Trujillanos | Draw | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 27% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Rayo Zuliano: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trujillanos | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 6.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trujillanos 1–2–3 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 04/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Trujillanos |
| 25/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Trujillanos |
| 18/06/25 Venezuela Cup | Trujillanos | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 30/06/24 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Trujillanos |
| 14/06/24 Venezuela Cup | Trujillanos | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | UCV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Monagas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Caracas | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trujillanos | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|
| Zamora | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Caracas | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Academia Anzoategui FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Portuguesa | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Carabobo | 0-2 L | 4-3 W |
| UCV | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Trujillanos (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trujillanos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 22/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 12 | L |
| 16/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trujillanos win (54%). Probabilities: Trujillanos 54%, draw 27%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 20%.
How many goals are expected in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Trujillanos 1.63 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.