Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: Academia Anzoategui FC vs Metropolitanos FC
Team pages: Academia Anzoategui FC · Metropolitanos FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Academia Anzoategui FC1.32
Metropolitanos FC1.7
1X2
Academia Anzoategui FC
Draw
Metropolitanos FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Anzoategui FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Metropolitanos FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Anzoategui FC
2–1
Metropolitanos FC
(3 last)
- Metropolitanos FC2-0Academia Anzoategui FC
- Metropolitanos FC1-2Academia Anzoategui FC
- Academia Anzoategui FC3-1Metropolitanos FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Anzoategui FC 1464 · Metropolitanos FC 1559
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Draw | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 26% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metropolitanos FC (rating 1464 vs 1559).
- H2H favours Academia Anzoategui FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Anzoategui FC | Metropolitanos FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Anzoategui FC 2–0–1 Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 25/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Academia Anzoategui FC |
| 18/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Anzoategui FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | Carabobo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Caracas | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 9 | UCV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Zamora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 11 | Monagas | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | Trujillanos | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Anzoategui FC | Metropolitanos FC |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Monagas | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Trujillanos | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Estudiantes Merida | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Portuguesa | 3-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Carabobo | 3-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Metropolitanos FC (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Anzoategui FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 06/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 21/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 3-6 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metropolitanos FC win (45%). Probabilities: Academia Anzoategui FC 28%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos FC 45%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Academia Anzoategui FC 1.32 · Metropolitanos FC 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Anzoategui FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.