Football · Honduras Liga Nacional · 25/10, 01:15
Prediction: Real Espana vs CD Platense
Team pages: Real Espana · CD Platense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Real Espana2.2
CD Platense0.86
1X2
Real Espana
Draw
CD Platense
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Espana
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
CD Platense
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Espana
4–1–1
CD Platense
(6 last)
- CD Platense0-3Real Espana
- Real Espana2-0CD Platense
- CD Platense2-2Real Espana
- Real Espana2-1CD Platense
- CD Platense2-1Real Espana
- Real Espana3-2CD Platense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Espana 1569 · CD Platense 1430
| Real Espana | Draw | CD Platense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| Market | 67% | 20% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Espana (rating 1569 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Real Espana: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Espana | CD Platense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Espana 4–1–1 CD Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Real Espana |
| 23/04/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CD Platense |
| 02/03/26 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Real Espana |
| 06/10/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 2-1 HT 0-1 | CD Platense |
| 27/07/25 Honduras Liga Nacional | CD Platense | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Real Espana |
| 20/03/22 Honduras Liga Nacional | Real Espana | 3-2 HT 2-0 | CD Platense |
Standings · Honduras Liga Nacional
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Olimpia | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | CD Marathon | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 | Real Espana | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Motagua | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Olancho FC | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 13 |
| 6 | Estrella Roja | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Lobos UPNFM | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Genesis de Comayagua | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Atletico Choloma | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 10 |
| 11 | CD Platense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 8 |
| 12 | Juticalpa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Espana | CD Platense |
|---|---|---|
| CD Olimpia | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Estrella Roja | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Motagua | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Lobos UPNFM | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Atletico Choloma | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| CD Marathon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Independiente Siguatepeque | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Genesis de Comayagua | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Espana (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Espana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 11/10 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Olancho FC Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 07/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | CD Platense Honduras Liga Nacional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
CD Platense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Juticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/09 | Lobos UPNFM Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Estrella Roja Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 04/09 | CD Olimpia Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Independiente Siguatepeque Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Atletico Choloma Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Genesis de Comayagua Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Marathon Honduras Liga Nacional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Real Espana Honduras Liga Nacional |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Espana vs CD Platense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Espana win (67%). Probabilities: Real Espana 67%, draw 20%, CD Platense 13%.
How many goals are expected in Real Espana vs CD Platense?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Real Espana 2.2 · CD Platense 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Espana vs CD Platense?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.