Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 25/09, 21:00

Prediction: Lisburn (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)

Team pages: Lisburn (W) · Crusaders Strikers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.14Total

Lisburn (W)1.56

Crusaders Strikers (W)2.58

1X2

21% 20% 59%

Lisburn (W) Draw Crusaders Strikers (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lisburn (W) 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Crusaders Strikers (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Lisburn (W) 1–1–4 Crusaders Strikers (W) (6 last)

Crusaders Strikers (W)1-1Lisburn (W)
Lisburn (W)0-3Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)2-3Lisburn (W)
Lisburn (W)1-3Crusaders Strikers (W)
Crusaders Strikers (W)2-1Lisburn (W)
Lisburn (W)0-2Crusaders Strikers (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lisburn (W) 1419 · Crusaders Strikers (W) 1452

	Lisburn (W)	Draw	Crusaders Strikers (W)
Our model	21%	19%	59%
Market	21%	21%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 4.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Crusaders Strikers (W): 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lisburn (W)	Crusaders Strikers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 4	1.7 / 4.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 2.2	0.4 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.3 / 2.3	2.4 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.20

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.93

2 (-1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 1.85 · xG: 5.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:05 +4’	4.33	4.20	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisburn (W) 1–1–4 Crusaders Strikers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Lisburn (W)
29/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Crusaders Strikers (W)
26/04/26 Northern Ireland League Cup Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-3 HT 2-1	Lisburn (W)
17/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	1-3 HT 0-0	Crusaders Strikers (W)
12/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-1 HT 0-1	Lisburn (W)
23/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Crusaders Strikers (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Premiership, Women 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crusaders Strikers (W)	15	5	4	6	28	53	19
2	Derry City (W)	15	4	2	9	27	36	14
3	Lisburn (W)	15	1	3	11	9	57	6
4	Larne FC (W)	15	0	2	13	9	66	2

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lisburn (W)	Crusaders Strikers (W)
Derry City (W)	3-3 D	3-3 D
Glentoran (W)	0-4 L	1-5 L
Linfield (W)	1-6 L	1-7 L
Lisburn Rangers (W)	0-6 L	2-2 D
Cliftonville (W)	0-7 L	0-9 L
Larne FC (W)	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lisburn (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lisburn (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-3	3-3	7	2	D
04/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-4	3	0	L
26/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
14/08	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
07/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-6	1-6	0	1	L
31/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-6	0	2	L
24/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-7	2	0	L
03/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
19/06	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-3	1-8	3	0	L
29/05	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	0	2	L

Crusaders Strikers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	3-2	10	2	W
04/09	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
28/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	1-7	3	4	L
14/08	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
07/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	1-5	5	1	L
31/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-5	0-9	–	–	L
24/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
03/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-2	3-3	1	4	D
26/06	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	1-9	3	1	L
19/06	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	2-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lisburn (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Crusaders Strikers (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Lisburn (W) 21%, draw 20%, Crusaders Strikers (W) 59%.

How many goals are expected in Lisburn (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?

The model expects 4.14 goals (Lisburn (W) 1.56 · Crusaders Strikers (W) 2.58), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lisburn (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.