Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 04/10, 19:00

Prediction: Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)

Team pages: Lisburn Rangers (W) · Linfield (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.32Total

Lisburn Rangers (W)1.72

Linfield (W)2.6

1X2

24% 20% 56%

Lisburn Rangers (W) Draw Linfield (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Lisburn Rangers (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLWWLL

Linfield (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Lisburn Rangers (W) 2–4 Linfield (W) (6 last)

Lisburn Rangers (W)5-2Linfield (W)
Linfield (W)3-0Lisburn Rangers (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)5-0Linfield (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)2-3Linfield (W)
Linfield (W)5-2Lisburn Rangers (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)0-3Linfield (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1516 · Linfield (W) 1557

	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Draw	Linfield (W)
Our model	24%	20%	56%
Market	24%	21%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 4.32 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 84%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (W) (rating 1516 vs 1557).
H2H favours Linfield (W): 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Linfield (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 2.4	2.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	1.3 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.33

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.80

2 (-1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +19’	3.80	4.33	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisburn Rangers (W) 2–0–4 Linfield (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	5-2 HT 4-1	Linfield (W)
03/07/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	3-0 HT 3-0	Lisburn Rangers (W)
12/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	5-0 HT 4-0	Linfield (W)
29/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	2-3 HT 1-0	Linfield (W)
27/06/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	5-2 HT 3-2	Lisburn Rangers (W)
23/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Linfield (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Premiership, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	16	14	1	1	69	12	43
2	Glentoran (W)	16	12	1	3	61	17	37
3	Linfield (W)	16	10	2	4	64	25	32
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	16	8	1	7	36	37	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lisburn Rangers (W)	Linfield (W)
Glentoran (W)	0-4 L	3-2 W
Cliftonville (W)	1-3 L	1-1 D
Larne FC (W)	5-1 W	2-0 W
Derry City (W)	3-0 W	2-1 W
Lisburn (W)	6-0 W	6-1 W
Crusaders Strikers (W)	2-2 D	7-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lisburn Rangers (W)

WDWWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
18/09	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	1-3	1	2	L
04/09	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	5-2	3	2	W
28/08	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
18/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
14/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
09/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
31/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
24/07	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
10/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	–	–	W

Linfield (W)

DWWLWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
20/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
07/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-4	2	5	L
04/09	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	2-5	6	2	L
28/08	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	7-1	5	4	W
14/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	0	1	L
07/08	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	6-0	6-1	3	1	W
31/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/07	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Linfield (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Lisburn Rangers (W) 24%, draw 20%, Linfield (W) 56%.

How many goals are expected in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

The model expects 4.32 goals (Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.72 · Linfield (W) 2.6), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Lisburn Rangers (W) vs Linfield (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.