Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 04/10, 19:00
Prediction: Cliftonville (W) vs Glentoran (W)
Team pages: Cliftonville (W) · Glentoran (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.67Total
Cliftonville (W)2.28
Glentoran (W)1.39
1X2
Cliftonville (W)
Draw
Glentoran (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cliftonville (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Glentoran (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cliftonville (W)
4–2
Glentoran (W)
(6 last)
- Glentoran (W)1-2Cliftonville (W)
- Cliftonville (W)3-1Glentoran (W)
- Cliftonville (W)4-0Glentoran (W)
- Glentoran (W)1-0Cliftonville (W)
- Glentoran (W)0-2Cliftonville (W)
- Cliftonville (W)0-2Glentoran (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cliftonville (W) 1645 · Glentoran (W) 1581
| Cliftonville (W) | Draw | Glentoran (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| Market | 56% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (W) (rating 1645 vs 1581).
- H2H favours Cliftonville (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 16.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cliftonville (W) | Glentoran (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.9 | 3.4 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville (W) 4–0–2 Glentoran (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 03/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Glentoran (W) |
| 05/07/26 Northern Ireland League Cup Women | Cliftonville (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Glentoran (W) |
| 12/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 25/07/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Glentoran (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cliftonville (W) |
| 08/07/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women | Cliftonville (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Glentoran (W) |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Premiership, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cliftonville (W) | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 69 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Glentoran (W) | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 61 | 17 | 37 |
| 3 | Linfield (W) | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 64 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Lisburn Rangers (W) | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 37 | 25 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cliftonville (W) | Glentoran (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Linfield (W) | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Lisburn Rangers (W) | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Derry City (W) | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Larne FC (W) | 8-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Crusaders Strikers (W) | 9-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Lisburn (W) | 7-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cliftonville (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cliftonville (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 7-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
Glentoran (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/09 | Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/08 | Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
5-0 | 7-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 07/08 | Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 17 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cliftonville (W) vs Glentoran (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville (W) win (56%). Probabilities: Cliftonville (W) 56%, draw 22%, Glentoran (W) 22%.
How many goals are expected in Cliftonville (W) vs Glentoran (W)?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Cliftonville (W) 2.28 · Glentoran (W) 1.39), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cliftonville (W) vs Glentoran (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.