Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 25/09, 20:45

Prediction: Linfield (W) vs Cliftonville (W)

Team pages: Linfield (W) · Cliftonville (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.27Total

Linfield (W)1.6

Cliftonville (W)2.68

1X2

21% 20% 59%

Linfield (W) Draw Cliftonville (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Linfield (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWLLW

Cliftonville (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Linfield (W) 0–1–5 Cliftonville (W) (6 last)

Linfield (W)1-3Cliftonville (W)
Cliftonville (W)3-2Linfield (W)
Cliftonville (W)2-0Linfield (W)
Cliftonville (W)2-1Linfield (W)
Linfield (W)0-2Cliftonville (W)
Cliftonville (W)1-1Linfield (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Linfield (W) 1559 · Cliftonville (W) 1672

	Linfield (W)	Draw	Cliftonville (W)
Our model	21%	19%	60%
Market	20%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 4.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (W) (rating 1559 vs 1672).
H2H favours Cliftonville (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Linfield (W)	Cliftonville (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.9	4.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 0.8	2.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	3.4 / 8.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	2.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.33

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 1.35 · xG: 5.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:52 +17’	4.50	4.33	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield (W) 0–1–5 Cliftonville (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Cliftonville (W)
22/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	3-2 HT 1-2	Linfield (W)
18/10/25 Northern Ireland Cup Women	Cliftonville (W)	2-0 HT 2-0	Linfield (W)
26/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Linfield (W)
05/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Linfield (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Cliftonville (W)
09/05/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Linfield (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Premiership, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	15	14	0	1	68	11	42
2	Glentoran (W)	15	11	1	3	57	17	34
3	Linfield (W)	15	10	1	4	63	24	31
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	15	8	1	6	36	33	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Linfield (W)	Cliftonville (W)
Glentoran (W)	3-2 W	2-1 W
Lisburn Rangers (W)	2-5 L	3-1 W
Crusaders Strikers (W)	7-1 W	9-0 W
Derry City (W)	2-1 W	4-0 W
Lisburn (W)	6-1 W	7-0 W
Larne FC (W)	2-0 W	8-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cliftonville (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linfield (W)

WDWWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
07/09	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-4	2	5	L
04/09	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-4	2-5	6	2	L
28/08	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	7-1	5	4	W
14/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
10/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	1-3	0	1	L
07/08	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	6-0	6-1	3	1	W
31/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/07	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-1	2-2	5	4	D
03/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	3-0	4	1	W

Cliftonville (W)

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-1	11	2	W
04/09	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
30/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
14/08	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
10/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	3-1	9	1	W
07/08	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-0	8-0	11	2	W
03/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
31/07	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	5-0	9-0	–	–	W
24/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
10/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-2	3-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linfield (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cliftonville (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Linfield (W) 21%, draw 20%, Cliftonville (W) 59%.

How many goals are expected in Linfield (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?

The model expects 4.27 goals (Linfield (W) 1.6 · Cliftonville (W) 2.68), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Linfield (W) vs Cliftonville (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.