Football · Colombia Primera B · 12/10, 00:00
Prediction: Barranquilla FC vs Deportes Quindio
Team pages: Barranquilla FC · Deportes Quindio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.15Total
Barranquilla FC0.98
Deportes Quindio1.17
1X2
Barranquilla FC
Draw
Deportes Quindio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Barranquilla FC
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Deportes Quindio
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barranquilla FC
2–2–2
Deportes Quindio
(6 last)
- Deportes Quindio1-0Barranquilla FC
- Deportes Quindio1-1Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-1Deportes Quindio
- Deportes Quindio1-0Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC1-0Deportes Quindio
- Barranquilla FC4-1Deportes Quindio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barranquilla FC 1455 · Deportes Quindio 1531
| Barranquilla FC | Draw | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Quindio (rating 1455 vs 1531).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barranquilla FC | Deportes Quindio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.2 | 1.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 5.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barranquilla FC 2–2–2 Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 09/08/25 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barranquilla FC |
| 24/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 11/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Deportes Quindio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 06/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Quindio |
| 19/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Quindio |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Cali FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barranquilla FC | Deportes Quindio |
|---|---|---|
| Itagui Leones | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Bogota FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Patriotas FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Union Magdalena | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Real San Andres | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Quindio (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barranquilla FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 28/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 20/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
Deportes Quindio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/09 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 14/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 09/09 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 04/08 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barranquilla FC vs Deportes Quindio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Quindio win (40%). Probabilities: Barranquilla FC 31%, draw 29%, Deportes Quindio 40%.
How many goals are expected in Barranquilla FC vs Deportes Quindio?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Barranquilla FC 0.98 · Deportes Quindio 1.17), with a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Barranquilla FC vs Deportes Quindio?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.