Football · Colombia Primera A · 31/10, 02:05
Prediction: Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto
Team pages: Atletico Bucaramanga · Deportivo Pasto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Atletico Bucaramanga1.52
Deportivo Pasto0.82
1X2
Atletico Bucaramanga
Draw
Deportivo Pasto
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Bucaramanga
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Pasto
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Atletico Bucaramanga
3–2–1
Deportivo Pasto
(6 last)
- Deportivo Pasto0-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- Deportivo Pasto3-0Atletico Bucaramanga
- Atletico Bucaramanga2-1Deportivo Pasto
- Atletico Bucaramanga0-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Bucaramanga
- Deportivo Pasto1-2Atletico Bucaramanga
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atletico Bucaramanga (rating 1530 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Atletico Bucaramanga: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Bucaramanga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Bucaramanga 3–2–1 Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 14/11/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 25/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Atletico Bucaramanga | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 25/10/24 Colombia Cup | Atletico Bucaramanga | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 18/10/24 Colombia Cup | Deportivo Pasto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
| 24/08/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Atletico Bucaramanga |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 10 | 30 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Alianza | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 18 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 15 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 16 | Boyaca Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 12 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 12 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Bucaramanga | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Boyaca Chico | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| America de Cali | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Once Caldas | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Internacional de Bogota | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Pereira | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Tolima | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atletico Bucaramanga (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Bucaramanga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 05/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 23/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/10 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico Bucaramanga win (53%). Probabilities: Atletico Bucaramanga 53%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 19%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Atletico Bucaramanga 1.52 · Deportivo Pasto 0.82), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.