Football · Colombia Primera A · 30/10, 00:15

Prediction: America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF

Team pages: America de Cali · Fortaleza CEIF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

America de Cali2.1

Fortaleza CEIF0.91

1X2

64% 22% 14%

America de Cali Draw Fortaleza CEIF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

America de Cali 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWWLDW

Fortaleza CEIF 0-6-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDDLDDDL

Head-to-head

America de Cali 2–3–1 Fortaleza CEIF (6 last)

Fortaleza CEIF1-2America de Cali
Fortaleza CEIF1-0America de Cali
America de Cali1-0Fortaleza CEIF
America de Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF0-0America de Cali
America de Cali1-1Fortaleza CEIF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America de Cali (rating 1567 vs 1443).
H2H favours America de Cali: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	America de Cali	Fortaleza CEIF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.6	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.9	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.47 → 1.49▲	Pinn 1.49
X	3.98 → 4.03▲	Pinn 4.03
2	6.60 → 6.76▲	Pinn 6.76

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +48’	1.47	3.98	6.60
21:13 +55’	1.49▲	4.03▲	6.76▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · America de Cali 2–3–1 Fortaleza CEIF

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	1-2 HT 0-1	America de Cali
13/09/25 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	1-0 HT 1-0	America de Cali
31/03/25 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	1-0 HT 1-0	Fortaleza CEIF
29/09/24 Colombia Primera A	America de Cali	1-1 HT 0-0	Fortaleza CEIF
18/03/24 Colombia Primera A	Fortaleza CEIF	0-0 HT 0-0	America de Cali
19/07/15 Colombia Primera B	America de Cali	1-1 HT 1-1	Fortaleza CEIF

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	15	9	4	2	29	11	31
2	Atletico Nacional Medellin	14	9	2	3	28	12	29
3	Deportivo Cali	15	8	5	2	23	9	29
4	Millonarios	16	6	8	2	24	14	26
5	Atletico Bucaramanga	14	6	7	1	22	13	25
6	Independiente Santa Fe	14	7	4	3	21	14	25
7	Independiente Medellin	14	7	2	5	21	19	23
8	Once Caldas	16	5	6	5	20	18	21
9	Cucuta Deportivo	15	6	3	6	18	22	21
10	Deportes Tolima	15	5	5	5	18	18	20
11	Aguilas Doradas	15	4	7	4	19	20	19
12	Internacional de Bogota	15	3	8	4	18	21	17
13	Llaneros	15	5	2	8	16	20	17
14	Junior	15	3	6	6	20	23	15
15	Alianza	14	4	3	7	15	26	15
16	Boyaca Chico	15	4	3	8	12	25	15
17	Deportivo Pereira	15	2	8	5	11	19	14
18	Fortaleza CEIF	14	1	8	5	15	21	11
19	Jaguares de Cordoba	14	2	4	8	16	28	10
20	Deportivo Pasto	14	2	3	9	9	22	9

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	America de Cali	Fortaleza CEIF
Deportes Tolima	1-1 D	2-2 D
Deportivo Pasto	0-1 L	0-0 D
Jaguares de Cordoba	2-2 D	2-2 D
Junior	4-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

America de Cali

WDWLDWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
18/10	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
12/10	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	2	6	L
05/10	Llaneros Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
24/09	Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	11	7	W
21/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
15/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	3	8	L
03/09	Alianza Colombia Primera A	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
29/08	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-2	2-2	13	7	D
27/08	Junior Colombia Primera A	1-1	4-2	4	8	W

Fortaleza CEIF

LDLDDLDDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
09/10	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
04/10	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
28/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-1	2-2	8	11	D
20/09	Junior Colombia Primera A	0-2	1-4	2	5	L
12/09	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-2	7	4	D
06/09	Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A	0-2	2-2	3	4	D
02/09	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-2	0	3	L
26/08	Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
23/08	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a America de Cali win (64%). Probabilities: America de Cali 64%, draw 22%, Fortaleza CEIF 14%.

How many goals are expected in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

The model expects 3.01 goals (America de Cali 2.1 · Fortaleza CEIF 0.91), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.