Football · Colombia Primera B · 08/10, 00:00

Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena

Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Union Magdalena

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Boca Juniors De Cali1.19

Union Magdalena1.28

1X2

33% 29% 38%

Boca Juniors De Cali Draw Union Magdalena

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Boca Juniors De Cali 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDWWWW

Union Magdalena 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1–4 Union Magdalena (6 last)

Union Magdalena0-2Boca Juniors De Cali
Union Magdalena1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena3-0Boca Juniors De Cali
Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Union Magdalena
Boca Juniors De Cali0-2Union Magdalena

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1543 · Union Magdalena 1471

	Boca Juniors De Cali	Draw	Union Magdalena
Our model	33%	30%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors De Cali (rating 1543 vs 1471).
H2H favours Union Magdalena: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boca Juniors De Cali	Union Magdalena
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
20:06 +9’	2.70	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1–4 Union Magdalena

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Union Magdalena	0-2 HT 0-2	Boca Juniors De Cali
23/10/24 Colombia Primera B	Union Magdalena	1-0 HT 0-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
12/05/24 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-0 HT 0-0	Union Magdalena
22/02/23 Colombia Cup	Union Magdalena	3-0 HT 1-0	Boca Juniors De Cali
16/02/23 Colombia Cup	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-1 HT 0-0	Union Magdalena
21/08/21 Colombia Primera B	Boca Juniors De Cali	0-2 HT 0-1	Union Magdalena

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19	10	23
2	Independiente Valle del Cauca	11	7	2	2	15	6	23
3	Tigres FC	11	6	3	2	13	4	21
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
5	Patriotas FC	11	5	2	4	17	17	17
6	Real Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19	14	15
7	Atletico Cali FC	11	4	2	5	13	17	14
8	Internacional FC de Palmira	11	4	2	5	8	12	14
9	Deportes Quindio	10	3	4	3	8	8	13
10	Real San Andres	11	2	6	3	13	18	12
11	Envigado FC	10	2	5	3	9	8	11
12	Union Magdalena	10	3	2	5	9	11	11
13	Bogota FC	10	3	2	5	6	10	11
14	Orsomarso	10	2	4	4	7	10	10
15	Itagui Leones	10	2	3	5	7	16	9
16	Barranquilla FC	10	2	2	6	10	16	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boca Juniors De Cali	Union Magdalena
Real Cartagena	3-2 W	1-1 D
Patriotas FC	4-1 W	2-1 W
Real San Andres	2-0 W	3-1 W
Envigado FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Barranquilla FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Bogota FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Real Soacha Cundinamarca	1-3 L	1-2 L
Tigres FC	0-0 D	0-1 L
Deportes Quindio	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boca Juniors De Cali

WDLLLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-2	1	5	W
27/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	3-0	4-1	1	7	W
19/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
13/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	6	8	W
06/09	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
02/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
25/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
06/08	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-3	2	6	L
01/08	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	11	0	D
24/07	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	1	3	W

Union Magdalena

LDLLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
30/09	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
19/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	4	9	W
13/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
06/09	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
01/09	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	8	W
29/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	4	7	L
24/08	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
01/08	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
25/07	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Magdalena win (38%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 33%, draw 29%, Union Magdalena 38%.

How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.19 · Union Magdalena 1.28), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.