Football · Colombia Primera B · 17/10, 02:30

Prediction: Barranquilla FC vs Tigres FC

Team pages: Barranquilla FC · Tigres FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Barranquilla FC1.19

Tigres FC1.21

1X2

35% 30% 36%

Barranquilla FC Draw Tigres FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Barranquilla FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLLLDW

Tigres FC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWDWD

Head-to-head

Barranquilla FC 1–4–1 Tigres FC (6 last)

Tigres FC3-1Barranquilla FC
Barranquilla FC2-2Tigres FC
Tigres FC1-1Barranquilla FC
Tigres FC1-1Barranquilla FC
Barranquilla FC3-2Tigres FC
Barranquilla FC0-0Tigres FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barranquilla FC 1470 · Tigres FC 1579

	Barranquilla FC	Draw	Tigres FC
Our model	34%	30%	35%
Market	35%	29%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tigres FC (rating 1470 vs 1579).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barranquilla FC	Tigres FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.4 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:28 +11’	2.63	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barranquilla FC 1–4–1 Tigres FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	3-1 HT 0-1	Barranquilla FC
25/10/25 Colombia Primera B	Barranquilla FC	2-2 HT 1-0	Tigres FC
18/05/25 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Barranquilla FC
21/07/24 Colombia Primera B	Tigres FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Barranquilla FC
03/02/24 Colombia Primera B	Barranquilla FC	3-2 HT 0-0	Tigres FC
30/07/23 Colombia Primera B	Barranquilla FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tigres FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	12	7	3	2	16	7	24
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	12	7	2	3	19	11	23
3	Tigres FC	12	6	4	2	14	5	22
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Patriotas FC	12	5	3	4	17	17	18
6	Real Cartagena	12	4	4	4	21	16	16
7	Deportes Quindio	12	4	4	4	10	12	16
8	Atletico Cali FC	12	4	3	5	15	19	15
9	Real San Andres	12	3	6	3	14	18	15
10	Internacional FC de Palmira	12	4	3	5	9	13	15
11	Envigado FC	12	2	7	3	13	12	13
12	Union Magdalena	12	3	4	5	12	14	13
13	Bogota FC	12	3	4	5	9	13	13
14	Barranquilla FC	12	3	3	6	15	18	12
15	Itagui Leones	12	2	5	5	10	19	11
16	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7	11	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barranquilla FC	Tigres FC
Bogota FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Independiente Valle del Cauca	0-2 L	1-1 D
Patriotas FC	1-3 L	0-1 L
Union Magdalena	2-1 W	1-0 W
Internacional FC de Palmira	0-1 L	1-0 W
Real San Andres	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tigres FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barranquilla FC

DLWWLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/10	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
28/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	9	6	L
21/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
16/09	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
11/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
06/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
02/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
25/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
20/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Tigres FC

WWWLWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
04/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
26/09	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	15	4	D
22/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	9	4	W
14/09	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
11/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
07/09	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-1	1	6	L
30/08	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	1-0	3-0	0	4	W
24/08	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
19/08	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barranquilla FC vs Tigres FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tigres FC win (36%). Probabilities: Barranquilla FC 35%, draw 30%, Tigres FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Barranquilla FC vs Tigres FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Barranquilla FC 1.19 · Tigres FC 1.21), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Barranquilla FC vs Tigres FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.