Football · Colombia Primera B · 15/10, 22:00

Prediction: Envigado FC vs Real San Andres

Team pages: Envigado FC · Real San Andres

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Envigado FC1.71

Real San Andres0.79

1X2

59% 25% 16%

Envigado FC Draw Real San Andres

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Envigado FC 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDDDWDDD

Real San Andres 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLDDLW

Head-to-head

Envigado FC 1–0 Real San Andres (1 last)

Real San Andres1-3Envigado FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Envigado FC 1493 · Real San Andres 1498

	Envigado FC	Draw	Real San Andres
Our model	58%	26%	16%
Market	59%	24%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Envigado FC	Real San Andres
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.4	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
21:21 +12’	1.55	3.75	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Envigado FC 1–0–0 Real San Andres

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/03/26 Colombia Primera B	Real San Andres	1-3 HT 0-1	Envigado FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Valle del Cauca	12	7	3	2	16	7	24
2	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	12	7	2	3	19	11	23
3	Tigres FC	12	6	4	2	14	5	22
4	Boca Juniors De Cali	11	5	3	3	18	14	18
5	Patriotas FC	12	5	3	4	17	17	18
6	Real Cartagena	12	4	4	4	21	16	16
7	Deportes Quindio	12	4	4	4	10	12	16
8	Atletico Cali FC	12	4	3	5	15	19	15
9	Real San Andres	12	3	6	3	14	18	15
10	Internacional FC de Palmira	12	4	3	5	9	13	15
11	Envigado FC	12	2	7	3	13	12	13
12	Union Magdalena	12	3	4	5	12	14	13
13	Bogota FC	12	3	4	5	9	13	13
14	Barranquilla FC	12	3	3	6	15	18	12
15	Itagui Leones	12	2	5	5	10	19	11
16	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7	11	10

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Envigado FC	Real San Andres
Internacional FC de Palmira	1-1 D	3-1 W
Orsomarso	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico Cali FC	3-0 W	2-2 D
Boca Juniors De Cali	2-2 D	0-2 L
Union Magdalena	0-1 L	1-3 L
Deportes Quindio	0-1 L	0-0 D
Tigres FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Envigado FC

LLLDDDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-1	1-1	9	6	D
06/10	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-3	3	6	D
01/10	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
27/09	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-0	2	4	W
22/09	Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
12/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-1	7	6	D
06/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	11	4	D
01/09	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	7	8	L
24/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/08	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	3	4	L

Real San Andres

DDWWDLDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
03/10	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-2	1-3	11	5	L
26/09	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
22/09	Orsomarso Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/09	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	7	8	L
06/09	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
29/08	Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
24/08	Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/08	Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	6	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Envigado FC vs Real San Andres?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Envigado FC win (59%). Probabilities: Envigado FC 59%, draw 25%, Real San Andres 16%.

How many goals are expected in Envigado FC vs Real San Andres?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Envigado FC 1.71 · Real San Andres 0.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Envigado FC vs Real San Andres?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.