Football · Colombia Primera B · 17/10, 00:15
Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Atletico Cali FC
Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Atletico Cali FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Boca Juniors De Cali1.83
Atletico Cali FC0.94
1X2
Boca Juniors De Cali
Draw
Atletico Cali FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Atletico Cali FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali
3–1–2
Atletico Cali FC
(6 last)
- Atletico Cali FC1-1Boca Juniors De Cali
- Atletico Cali FC0-1Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali1-2Atletico Cali FC
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-1Atletico Cali FC
- Atletico Cali FC1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-0Atletico Cali FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1529 · Atletico Cali FC 1484
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Draw | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors De Cali (rating 1529 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors De Cali: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Atletico Cali FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 0.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 3–1–2 Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 13/10/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 08/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 05/05/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Atletico Cali FC |
| 29/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Atletico Cali FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 16/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Cali FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Cali FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 15 |
| 11 | Envigado FC | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 11 |
| 16 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boca Juniors De Cali | Atletico Cali FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Patriotas FC | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Itagui Leones | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Real San Andres | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Envigado FC | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Bogota FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Tigres FC | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
Atletico Cali FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/09 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 29/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Atletico Cali FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boca Juniors De Cali win (57%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 57%, draw 25%, Atletico Cali FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 1.83 · Atletico Cali FC 0.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Atletico Cali FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.