Football · Colombia Primera B · 12/10, 22:30
Prediction: Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors De Cali
Team pages: Orsomarso · Boca Juniors De Cali
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Orsomarso1.35
Boca Juniors De Cali1.02
1X2
Orsomarso
Draw
Boca Juniors De Cali
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Orsomarso
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Boca Juniors De Cali
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orsomarso
1–2–3
Boca Juniors De Cali
(6 last)
- Boca Juniors De Cali2-2Orsomarso
- Orsomarso0-3Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Orsomarso
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Orsomarso
- Orsomarso1-2Boca Juniors De Cali
- Orsomarso0-1Boca Juniors De Cali
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orsomarso 1450 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1517
| Orsomarso | Draw | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boca Juniors De Cali (rating 1450 vs 1517).
- H2H favours Boca Juniors De Cali: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orsomarso | Boca Juniors De Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orsomarso 1–2–3 Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Orsomarso |
| 29/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 23/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 29/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Orsomarso |
| 26/04/24 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 27/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Orsomarso | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Cali FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orsomarso | Boca Juniors De Cali |
|---|---|---|
| Envigado FC | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Real San Andres | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Tigres FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Real Cartagena | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Patriotas FC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Union Magdalena | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Boca Juniors De Cali (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orsomarso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/10 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 28/09 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 9 | L |
| 25/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/08 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Orsomarso win (43%). Probabilities: Orsomarso 43%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors De Cali 27%.
How many goals are expected in Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Orsomarso 1.35 · Boca Juniors De Cali 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orsomarso vs Boca Juniors De Cali?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.