Football · Colombia Primera B · 11/10, 22:00
Prediction: Envigado FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira
Team pages: Envigado FC · Internacional FC de Palmira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.82Total
Envigado FC1.15
Internacional FC de Palmira0.67
1X2
Envigado FC
Draw
Internacional FC de Palmira
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Envigado FC
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Internacional FC de Palmira
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Envigado FC
2–3–1
Internacional FC de Palmira
(6 last)
- Internacional FC de Palmira0-0Envigado FC
- Envigado FC0-0Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira2-1Envigado FC
- Envigado FC3-2Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira1-1Envigado FC
- Envigado FC2-0Internacional FC de Palmira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Envigado FC 1479 · Internacional FC de Palmira 1501
| Envigado FC | Draw | Internacional FC de Palmira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 29% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.82 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Envigado FC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Envigado FC | Internacional FC de Palmira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.5 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Envigado FC 2–3–1 Internacional FC de Palmira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Envigado FC |
| 04/05/26 Colombia Primera B | Envigado FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 14/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Envigado FC |
| 17/09/22 Colombia Primera A | Envigado FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 23/03/22 Colombia Primera A | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Envigado FC |
| 02/11/17 Colombia Primera A | Envigado FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas FC | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 18 |
| 6 | Real Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportes Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico Cali FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real San Andres | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | Bogota FC | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | Envigado FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | Itagui Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Envigado FC | Internacional FC de Palmira |
|---|---|---|
| Bogota FC | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Cali FC | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Real Cartagena | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Itagui Leones | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Quindio | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Tigres FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Valle del Cauca | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Envigado FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/10 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 01/09 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 24/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Internacional FC de Palmira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 28/09 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/09 | Independiente Valle del Cauca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 03/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Envigado FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Envigado FC win (47%). Probabilities: Envigado FC 47%, draw 31%, Internacional FC de Palmira 21%.
How many goals are expected in Envigado FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
The model expects 1.82 goals (Envigado FC 1.15 · Internacional FC de Palmira 0.67), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Envigado FC vs Internacional FC de Palmira?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.