Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 09/09, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs Independiente FBC

Team pages: Deportivo Santaní · Independiente FBC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Deportivo Santaní1.81

Independiente FBC1.13

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Deportivo Santaní Draw Independiente FBC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santaní 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWLW

Independiente FBC 1-7-2 (W-D-L)

DDLDDDWDLD

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santaní 3–2–1 Independiente FBC (6 last)

Independiente FBC0-2Deportivo Santaní
Independiente FBC1-1Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní2-1Independiente FBC
Deportivo Santaní1-0Independiente FBC
Independiente FBC1-0Deportivo Santaní
Independiente FBC2-2Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1573 · Independiente FBC 1513

	Deportivo Santaní	Draw	Independiente FBC
Our model	52%	25%	23%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1573 vs 1513).
H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santaní	Independiente FBC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5	2.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
18:37 +3’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 3–2–1 Independiente FBC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	0-2 HT 0-1	Deportivo Santaní
24/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
20/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-1 HT 1-0	Independiente FBC
25/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-0 HT 0-0	Independiente FBC
21/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
28/07/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Independiente FBC	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	22	13	5	4	32	20	44
2	General Caballero JLM	22	13	5	4	44	26	44
3	Deportivo Santaní	22	13	3	6	38	22	42
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	22	11	6	5	36	24	39
5	Sol de America	22	7	13	2	27	18	34
6	Resistencia FC	22	8	8	6	24	24	32
7	Club Atlético Tembetary	22	8	5	9	31	34	29
8	Independiente FBC	22	6	10	6	30	31	28
9	Carapegua	22	8	4	10	26	37	28
10	Deportivo Capiata	22	6	9	7	29	31	27
11	Paraguari AC	22	7	5	10	25	29	26
12	Fernando de la Mora	22	6	7	9	23	31	25
13	Guairena FC	22	6	6	10	20	26	24
14	Tacuary	22	3	10	9	24	36	19
15	Encarnacion FC	22	5	3	14	21	31	18
16	3 de Noviembre	22	3	7	12	26	36	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santaní	Independiente FBC
Tacuary	3-0 W	2-2 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-4 L	2-2 D
Paraguari AC	2-0 W	2-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	2-3 L	0-0 D
3 de Noviembre	4-0 W	2-5 L
General Caballero JLM	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santaní

WWLWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	4	L
11/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	4-0	10	3	W
05/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	5	5	W

Independiente FBC

DDLDDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
28/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-5	7	4	L
22/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
07/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
02/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	6	8	D
29/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
18/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-3	1	7	L
13/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
08/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-2	2-2	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs Independiente FBC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (52%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 52%, draw 25%, Independiente FBC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs Independiente FBC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Deportivo Santaní 1.81 · Independiente FBC 1.13), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Independiente FBC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.