Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs General Caballero JLM

Team pages: Paraguari AC · General Caballero JLM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Paraguari AC1.35

General Caballero JLM1.57

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Paraguari AC Draw General Caballero JLM

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDLWWWW

General Caballero JLM 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWW

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1 General Caballero JLM (1 last)

General Caballero JLM3-2Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1540 · General Caballero JLM 1585

	Paraguari AC	Draw	General Caballero JLM
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Caballero JLM (rating 1540 vs 1585).
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	General Caballero JLM
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	2.2 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.25

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.07 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:02 +4’	2.80	3.25	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +44’	3.03	3.07	2.13
13:03 +3’	3.07▲	3.11▲	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–0–1 General Caballero JLM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	3-2 HT 1-1	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	24	14	6	4	35	22	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	24	11	6	7	37	29	39
5	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
6	Independiente FBC	24	8	10	6	33	32	34
7	Carapegua	24	10	4	10	30	38	34
8	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
9	Paraguari AC	24	9	5	10	31	31	32
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Tacuary	24	3	11	10	26	39	20
16	Encarnacion FC	24	5	4	15	22	33	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	General Caballero JLM
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-1 W	2-0 W
Guairena FC	3-1 W	3-0 W
Carapegua	3-2 W	2-1 W
Resistencia FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-3 L	0-1 L
Sol de America	1-1 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	2-1 W
Independiente FBC	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paraguari AC

WLWWDLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
08/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	0	W
04/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-2	3	4	W
31/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W

General Caballero JLM

LWWWWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	0	5	W
18/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	2	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs General Caballero JLM?

According to our model, the most likely result is an General Caballero JLM win (41%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 32%, draw 27%, General Caballero JLM 41%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Paraguari AC 1.35 · General Caballero JLM 1.57), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs General Caballero JLM?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.