Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/09, 00:00
Prediction: 3 de Noviembre vs Guairena FC
Team pages: 3 de Noviembre · Guairena FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
3 de Noviembre1.42
Guairena FC1.25
1X2
3 de Noviembre
Draw
Guairena FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
3 de Noviembre
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Guairena FC
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
3 de Noviembre
0–2
Guairena FC
(2 last)
- Guairena FC2-13 de Noviembre
- 3 de Noviembre0-3Guairena FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 3 de Noviembre 1508 · Guairena FC 1448
| 3 de Noviembre | Draw | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 3 de Noviembre (rating 1508 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Guairena FC: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 3 de Noviembre | Guairena FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.5 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 3 de Noviembre 0–0–2 Guairena FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Guairena FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | 3 de Noviembre |
| 20/07/23 Paraguay Cup | 3 de Noviembre | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Guairena FC |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero JLM | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Deportivo Santaní | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 39 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 24 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 30 | 21 | 37 |
| 6 | Independiente FBC | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 33 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Carapegua | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 38 | 34 |
| 8 | Resistencia FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
| 9 | Paraguari AC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 32 |
| 10 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 30 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 28 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 33 | 27 |
| 13 | Guairena FC | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 32 | 24 |
| 14 | 3 de Noviembre | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 22 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 39 | 20 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 33 | 19 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 3 de Noviembre | Guairena FC |
|---|---|---|
| Resistencia FC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sol de America | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Capiata | 3-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Independiente FBC | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Tacuary | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Club Atlético Tembetary | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Carapegua | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: 3 de Noviembre (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
3 de Noviembre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 08/09 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
3-0 | 5-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/08 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/08 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Guairena FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 21/08 | Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 10/08 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/07 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 3 de Noviembre vs Guairena FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a 3 de Noviembre win (40%). Probabilities: 3 de Noviembre 40%, draw 28%, Guairena FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in 3 de Noviembre vs Guairena FC?
The model expects 2.68 goals (3 de Noviembre 1.42 · Guairena FC 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in 3 de Noviembre vs Guairena FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.