Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 18/09, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Santaní vs Sol de America

Team pages: Deportivo Santaní · Sol de America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Deportivo Santaní1.25

Sol de America1.03

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Deportivo Santaní Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Santaní 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLWLW

Sol de America 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWDDWDLW

Head-to-head

Deportivo Santaní 3–1–2 Sol de America (6 last)

Sol de America0-0Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní2-1Sol de America
Sol de America2-1Deportivo Santaní
Sol de America0-1Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní2-1Sol de America
Sol de America1-0Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Santaní 1538 · Sol de America 1552

	Deportivo Santaní	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	40%	31%	29%
Market	41%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Santaní	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.5	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 21:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.21 ★
X	3.20 → 3.25▲	Bet365 3.25
2	3.10 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +5’	2.15	3.20	3.10
10:22 +4’	2.45▲	3.10▼	2.70▼
13:21 +4’	1.91▼	3.30▲	3.60▲
15:34 +32’	2.25▲	3.20▼	2.90▼
21:12 +4’	2.20▼	3.25▲	3.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:49 +37’	2.38	2.73	2.96
15:33 +34’	2.26▼	3.09▲	2.73▼
21:00 +16’	2.21▼	3.17▲	2.91▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Santaní 3–1–2 Sol de America

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo Santaní
19/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-1 HT 2-0	Sol de America
16/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	2-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní
13/08/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Santaní
09/05/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	2-1 HT 1-0	Sol de America
10/11/21 Paraguay Cup	Sol de America	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	24	14	6	4	35	22	48
3	Deportivo Santaní	24	14	3	7	40	24	45
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	24	11	6	7	37	29	39
5	Sol de America	24	8	13	3	30	21	37
6	Independiente FBC	24	8	10	6	33	32	34
7	Carapegua	24	10	4	10	30	38	34
8	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
9	Paraguari AC	24	9	5	10	31	31	32
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	24	6	6	12	21	32	24
14	3 de Noviembre	24	5	7	12	29	37	22
15	Tacuary	24	3	11	10	26	39	20
16	Encarnacion FC	24	5	4	15	22	33	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Santaní	Sol de America
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	4-1 W
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Tacuary	3-0 W	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-4 L	1-1 D
Paraguari AC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Fernando de la Mora	2-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Santaní

LWWWWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	4	L

Sol de America

DDDWDDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	7	7	W
08/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
04/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	11	4	D
30/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Santaní vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Santaní win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Santaní 41%, draw 29%, Sol de America 30%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Santaní vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Deportivo Santaní 1.25 · Sol de America 1.03), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Santaní vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.