Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 19/09, 15:00

Prediction: Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia FC

Team pages: Fernando de la Mora · Resistencia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Fernando de la Mora1.32

Resistencia FC1.06

1X2

42% 29% 29%

Fernando de la Mora Draw Resistencia FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Fernando de la Mora 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLDDWL

Resistencia FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDWDLWLL

Head-to-head

Fernando de la Mora 0–1–5 Resistencia FC (6 last)

Resistencia FC3-1Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora1-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-0Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC2-0Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora0-1Resistencia FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fernando de la Mora 1507 · Resistencia FC 1491

	Fernando de la Mora	Draw	Resistencia FC
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	43%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Resistencia FC: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fernando de la Mora	Resistencia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	1.6 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.25

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.21 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:41 +17’	2.10	3.25	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +5’	2.21	3.01	3.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fernando de la Mora 0–1–5 Resistencia FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	3-1 HT 1-1	Fernando de la Mora
04/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	1-1 HT 1-0	Resistencia FC
28/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Fernando de la Mora
29/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
24/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Fernando de la Mora
09/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Fernando de la Mora	0-1	Resistencia FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	24	14	6	4	35	22	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	24	11	6	7	37	29	39
5	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
6	Independiente FBC	24	8	10	6	33	32	34
7	Carapegua	24	10	4	10	30	38	34
8	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
9	Paraguari AC	24	9	5	10	31	31	32
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	24	8	6	10	33	37	30
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Tacuary	24	3	11	10	26	39	20
16	Encarnacion FC	24	5	4	15	22	33	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fernando de la Mora	Resistencia FC
Sol de America	2-3 L	0-0 D
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	3-1 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-2 L	1-0 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Resistencia FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fernando de la Mora

WDDLWLDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
09/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
29/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
22/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
15/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	2	5	W
09/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
01/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
26/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
21/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	4	W

Resistencia FC

LWWDWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
09/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
31/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fernando de la Mora win (42%). Probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 42%, draw 29%, Resistencia FC 29%.

How many goals are expected in Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia FC?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Fernando de la Mora 1.32 · Resistencia FC 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs Resistencia FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.