Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 16/09, 00:00

Prediction: Tacuary vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Team pages: Tacuary · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Tacuary0.84

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.54

1X2

20% 26% 54%

Tacuary Draw 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLWLLDLD

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWLDD

Head-to-head

Tacuary 1–2–0 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (3 last)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes2-2Tacuary
Tacuary1-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-3Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1471 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1522

	Tacuary	Draw	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Our model	19%	28%	53%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1471 vs 1522).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.5	2.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.60

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.93

2 (-0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:52 +13’	4.33	3.60	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 1–2–0 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-2 HT 1-0	Tacuary
27/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Tacuary	1-1 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
19/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-3 HT 1-1	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	24	14	3	7	40	24	45
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	23	13	6	4	33	21	45
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	23	11	6	6	36	26	39
5	Sol de America	24	8	13	3	30	21	37
6	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
7	Independiente FBC	23	7	10	6	32	32	31
8	Carapegua	23	9	4	10	28	37	31
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	23	8	6	9	32	35	30
10	Paraguari AC	23	8	5	10	28	30	29
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	24	6	6	12	21	32	24
14	3 de Noviembre	24	5	7	12	29	37	22
15	Tacuary	23	3	11	9	25	37	20
16	Encarnacion FC	23	5	4	14	22	32	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
Encarnacion FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-3 L	2-4 L
Fernando de la Mora	1-1 D	1-1 D
3 de Noviembre	0-1 L	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	1-4 L	1-0 W
Guairena FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuary

DDDLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
10/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
25/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
20/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
13/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-2	3	2	D

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

WWWDLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
30/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
01/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (54%). Probabilities: Tacuary 20%, draw 26%, 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 54%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Tacuary 0.84 · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.54), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.