Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 15/09, 21:30

Prediction: Club Atlético Tembetary vs Carapegua

Team pages: Club Atlético Tembetary · Carapegua

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.86Total

Club Atlético Tembetary1.51

Carapegua1.35

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Club Atlético Tembetary Draw Carapegua

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Atlético Tembetary 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDLDLLWWLD

Carapegua 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLLWLW

Head-to-head

Club Atlético Tembetary 2–2 Carapegua (4 last)

Carapegua1-0Club Atlético Tembetary
Carapegua0-1Club Atlético Tembetary
Carapegua3-1Club Atlético Tembetary
Club Atlético Tembetary2-1Carapegua

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Atlético Tembetary 1502 · Carapegua 1501

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Draw	Carapegua
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Atlético Tembetary	Carapegua
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:04 +1’	2.20	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atlético Tembetary 2–0–2 Carapegua

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Atlético Tembetary
02/09/25 Paraguay Cup	Carapegua	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Atlético Tembetary
13/10/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	3-1 HT 0-0	Club Atlético Tembetary
05/07/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Atlético Tembetary	2-1 HT 1-1	Carapegua

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	24	15	5	4	49	27	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	24	14	3	7	40	24	45
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	23	13	6	4	33	21	45
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	23	11	6	6	36	26	39
5	Sol de America	24	8	13	3	30	21	37
6	Resistencia FC	24	8	8	8	26	28	32
7	Independiente FBC	23	7	10	6	32	32	31
8	Carapegua	23	9	4	10	28	37	31
9	Club Atlético Tembetary	23	8	6	9	32	35	30
10	Paraguari AC	23	8	5	10	28	30	29
11	Fernando de la Mora	24	7	7	10	26	34	28
12	Deportivo Capiata	24	6	9	9	29	33	27
13	Guairena FC	24	6	6	12	21	32	24
14	3 de Noviembre	24	5	7	12	29	37	22
15	Tacuary	23	3	11	9	25	37	20
16	Encarnacion FC	23	5	4	14	22	32	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Atlético Tembetary	Carapegua
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	1-0 W
Encarnacion FC	0-2 L	1-3 L
Deportivo Santaní	4-3 W	0-2 L
Fernando de la Mora	2-1 W	2-0 W
3 de Noviembre	0-3 L	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	1-3 L	1-2 L
Guairena FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Resistencia FC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Carapegua (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Atlético Tembetary

WDLDLLWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
05/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
29/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	4-3	3	5	W
22/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	5	6	W
17/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
01/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
28/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
19/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
14/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	9	2	W

Carapegua

DWLWWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	2-3	3	4	L
30/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
23/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
16/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
03/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
10/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Carapegua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atlético Tembetary win (40%). Probabilities: Club Atlético Tembetary 40%, draw 27%, Carapegua 33%.

How many goals are expected in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Carapegua?

The model expects 2.86 goals (Club Atlético Tembetary 1.51 · Carapegua 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Atlético Tembetary vs Carapegua?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.