Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: Tacuary vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Team pages: Tacuary · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Tacuary1.12

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.57

1X2

26% 27% 47%

Tacuary Draw Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tacuary 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLDLD

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Tacuary 0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (1 last)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval3-2Tacuary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tacuary 1442 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1462

	Tacuary	Draw	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Our model	26%	28%	47%
Market	26%	26%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tacuary	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.40

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:34 +5’	3.40	3.40	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacuary 0–0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	3-2 HT 1-1	Tacuary

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	25	12	6	7	39	30	42
5	Independiente FBC	25	9	10	6	37	32	37
6	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
7	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
8	Carapegua	25	10	5	10	30	38	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Encarnacion FC	25	6	4	15	25	34	22
16	Tacuary	25	3	12	10	26	39	21

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tacuary	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Carapegua	0-0 D	0-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-2 L	1-1 D
Encarnacion FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-3 L	2-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	1-1 D	1-2 L
3 de Noviembre	0-1 L	2-1 W
General Caballero JLM	1-4 L	0-2 L
Guairena FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tacuary

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
16/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	4	7	L
09/09	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-3	9	3	L
29/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
18/08	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-4	2	4	L
10/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
01/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
25/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	4	D

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

DLWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	11	7	W
14/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-3	3	3	L
10/09	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	11	3	L
06/09	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
31/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	1	4	W
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
27/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tacuary vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (47%). Probabilities: Tacuary 26%, draw 27%, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 47%.

How many goals are expected in Tacuary vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Tacuary 1.12 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tacuary vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.