Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 25/09, 23:30

Prediction: General Caballero JLM vs 3 de Noviembre

Team pages: General Caballero JLM · 3 de Noviembre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

General Caballero JLM1.98

3 de Noviembre1.14

1X2

57% 23% 21%

General Caballero JLM Draw 3 de Noviembre

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

General Caballero JLM 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDWWL

3 de Noviembre 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

General Caballero JLM 1–0 3 de Noviembre (1 last)

3 de Noviembre2-3General Caballero JLM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Caballero JLM 1583 · 3 de Noviembre 1513

	General Caballero JLM	Draw	3 de Noviembre
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Caballero JLM (rating 1583 vs 1513).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Caballero JLM	3 de Noviembre
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.10

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:28 +2’	1.57	4.10	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · General Caballero JLM 1–0–0 3 de Noviembre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	3 de Noviembre	2-3 HT 1-1	General Caballero JLM

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	25	12	6	7	39	30	42
5	Independiente FBC	25	9	10	6	37	32	37
6	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
7	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
8	Carapegua	25	10	5	10	30	38	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Encarnacion FC	25	6	4	15	25	34	22
16	Tacuary	25	3	12	10	26	39	21

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Caballero JLM	3 de Noviembre
Guairena FC	3-0 W	1-1 D
Resistencia FC	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	1-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	3-4 L
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	5-2 W
Tacuary	4-1 W	1-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-1 W	3-0 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-0 W	1-2 L
Carapegua	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Caballero JLM

WWWWDWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	3	7	L
12/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	0	W
09/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
04/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	0	5	W

3 de Noviembre

LLLWWWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	2-1	6	5	W
08/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
03/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	5	3	L
28/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	5-2	5	4	W
23/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
17/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-0	3	6	W
09/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
03/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
28/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Caballero JLM vs 3 de Noviembre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Caballero JLM win (57%). Probabilities: General Caballero JLM 57%, draw 23%, 3 de Noviembre 21%.

How many goals are expected in General Caballero JLM vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model expects 3.12 goals (General Caballero JLM 1.98 · 3 de Noviembre 1.14), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in General Caballero JLM vs 3 de Noviembre?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.