Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 27/09, 15:00

Prediction: Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Santaní

Team pages: Resistencia FC · Deportivo Santaní

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Resistencia FC1.01

Deportivo Santaní1.51

1X2

24% 28% 48%

Resistencia FC Draw Deportivo Santaní

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Resistencia FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLWLLL

Deportivo Santaní 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Resistencia FC 0–4–2 Deportivo Santaní (6 last)

Deportivo Santaní3-0Resistencia FC
Deportivo Santaní1-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC3-3Deportivo Santaní
Resistencia FC1-3Deportivo Santaní
Deportivo Santaní1-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC1-1Deportivo Santaní

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Resistencia FC 1471 · Deportivo Santaní 1558

	Resistencia FC	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	24%	28%	48%
Market	25%	27%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1471 vs 1558).
H2H favours Deportivo Santaní: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Resistencia FC	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.7	2.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.30

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:27 +4’	3.60	3.30	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Resistencia FC 0–4–2 Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/06/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	3-0 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
12/09/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-1 HT 1-0	Resistencia FC
09/06/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	3-3 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní
16/08/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Deportivo Santaní
13/05/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	1-1 HT 1-1	Resistencia FC
30/07/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Deportivo Santaní

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	General Caballero JLM	25	15	5	5	51	30	50
2	Deportivo Santaní	25	15	3	7	43	24	48
3	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	25	14	6	5	35	26	48
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	25	12	6	7	39	30	42
5	Carapegua	26	11	5	10	31	38	38
6	Independiente FBC	26	9	10	7	37	33	37
7	Sol de America	25	8	13	4	30	24	37
8	Paraguari AC	25	10	5	10	34	33	35
9	Resistencia FC	25	8	8	9	27	30	32
10	Fernando de la Mora	25	8	7	10	28	35	31
11	Club Atlético Tembetary	25	8	6	11	34	39	30
12	Deportivo Capiata	25	6	9	10	30	36	27
13	Guairena FC	25	6	7	12	22	33	25
14	3 de Noviembre	25	5	8	12	30	38	23
15	Encarnacion FC	25	6	4	15	25	34	22
16	Tacuary	25	3	12	10	26	39	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Resistencia FC	Deportivo Santaní
Paraguari AC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Sol de America	0-0 D	3-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	1-0 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Tacuary	3-1 W	3-0 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Resistencia FC

WWDWDLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
12/09	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-2	7	5	L
09/09	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	1-2	1	4	L
05/09	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	5	10	W
31/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W

Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	2	6	W
13/09	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
09/09	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
05/09	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
29/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-4	2	5	L
23/08	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santaní win (48%). Probabilities: Resistencia FC 24%, draw 28%, Deportivo Santaní 48%.

How many goals are expected in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Resistencia FC 1.01 · Deportivo Santaní 1.51), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Resistencia FC vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.